Latest Hong Kong Observatory and numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while keeping daytime maxima near 31°C. This aligns with August climatology of 26–28°C overnight lows under typical monsoon conditions, with current guidance showing no significant deviation from baseline. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of stable steering patterns and limited model spread. An unexpected clear-sky period or stronger southerly surge could push the minimum above 26°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given ongoing precipitation signals and the narrow window remaining for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
25°C 98%
24°C 3%
23°C <1%
28°C <1%
НОВЕ
$34,310 Обс.
НОВЕ
$34,310 Обс.
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
98%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 98%
24°C 3%
23°C <1%
28°C <1%
НОВЕ
$34,310 Обс.
НОВЕ
$34,310 Обс.
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$508 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$2,949 Обс.
1%
24°C
$4,475 Обс.
3%
25°C
$8,017 Обс.
98%
26°C
$4,976 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$4,864 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$4,529 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$1,853 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$1,148 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$477 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$515 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Hong Kong Observatory and numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while keeping daytime maxima near 31°C. This aligns with August climatology of 26–28°C overnight lows under typical monsoon conditions, with current guidance showing no significant deviation from baseline. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of stable steering patterns and limited model spread. An unexpected clear-sky period or stronger southerly surge could push the minimum above 26°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given ongoing precipitation signals and the narrow window remaining for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$34,310Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Hong Kong Observatory and numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while keeping daytime maxima near 31°C. This aligns with August climatology of 26–28°C overnight lows under typical monsoon conditions, with current guidance showing no significant deviation from baseline. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of stable steering patterns and limited model spread. An unexpected clear-sky period or stronger southerly surge could push the minimum above 26°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given ongoing precipitation signals and the narrow window remaining for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$34,310Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Hong Kong Observatory and numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C for August 21, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while keeping daytime maxima near 31°C. This aligns with August climatology of 26–28°C overnight lows under typical monsoon conditions, with current guidance showing no significant deviation from baseline. Trader consensus at 98% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of stable steering patterns and limited model spread. An unexpected clear-sky period or stronger southerly surge could push the minimum above 26°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given ongoing precipitation signals and the narrow window remaining for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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