Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on August 20 point to a daytime high in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow that limits inland heating along the coast. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around these values, with typical August climatology near 83 °F serving as a baseline but recent cooler-than-normal patterns and patchy fog reducing peak temperatures. Trader-implied odds clustering on 78–81 °F reflect this consensus from official point forecasts and rapid-update models, while lower probabilities for 82 °F or higher account for possible brief clearing that could allow modest warming before resolution at official Los Angeles observation sites.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 20?
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 22%
84-85°F 5%
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 29%
82-83°F 22%
84-85°F 5%
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on August 20 point to a daytime high in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow that limits inland heating along the coast. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around these values, with typical August climatology near 83 °F serving as a baseline but recent cooler-than-normal patterns and patchy fog reducing peak temperatures. Trader-implied odds clustering on 78–81 °F reflect this consensus from official point forecasts and rapid-update models, while lower probabilities for 82 °F or higher account for possible brief clearing that could allow modest warming before resolution at official Los Angeles observation sites.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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