PAGASA’s extended outlook for Metro Manila points to a southwest monsoon-driven pattern on August 21, with forecast highs of 32 °C and 60 % rain probability under mostly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 31–32 °C, as persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppress daytime heating relative to the 31 °C August climatological average. Recent model runs show limited variability because the monsoon flow and possible influence from Tropical Depression Neneng maintain similar moisture and wind fields, keeping maximum temperatures from exceeding 33 °C or falling below 30 °C. Traders therefore price the narrow 31–32 °C window as the most probable outcome given the current steering pattern and lack of clear-air subsidence that would allow stronger solar heating.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on August 21?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 21?
32°C 42%
31°C 37%
33°C 17%
30°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
37%
32°C
42%
33°C
17%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 42%
31°C 37%
33°C 17%
30°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
26°C or below
$166 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$316 Обс.
1%
28°C
$49 Обс.
1%
29°C
$45 Обс.
3%
30°C
$183 Обс.
5%
31°C
$338 Обс.
37%
32°C
$578 Обс.
42%
33°C
$219 Обс.
17%
34°C
$136 Обс.
2%
35°C
$44 Обс.
1%
36°C or higher
$61 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA’s extended outlook for Metro Manila points to a southwest monsoon-driven pattern on August 21, with forecast highs of 32 °C and 60 % rain probability under mostly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 31–32 °C, as persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppress daytime heating relative to the 31 °C August climatological average. Recent model runs show limited variability because the monsoon flow and possible influence from Tropical Depression Neneng maintain similar moisture and wind fields, keeping maximum temperatures from exceeding 33 °C or falling below 30 °C. Traders therefore price the narrow 31–32 °C window as the most probable outcome given the current steering pattern and lack of clear-air subsidence that would allow stronger solar heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,136Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA’s extended outlook for Metro Manila points to a southwest monsoon-driven pattern on August 21, with forecast highs of 32 °C and 60 % rain probability under mostly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 31–32 °C, as persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppress daytime heating relative to the 31 °C August climatological average. Recent model runs show limited variability because the monsoon flow and possible influence from Tropical Depression Neneng maintain similar moisture and wind fields, keeping maximum temperatures from exceeding 33 °C or falling below 30 °C. Traders therefore price the narrow 31–32 °C window as the most probable outcome given the current steering pattern and lack of clear-air subsidence that would allow stronger solar heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,136Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA’s extended outlook for Metro Manila points to a southwest monsoon-driven pattern on August 21, with forecast highs of 32 °C and 60 % rain probability under mostly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 31–32 °C, as persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppress daytime heating relative to the 31 °C August climatological average. Recent model runs show limited variability because the monsoon flow and possible influence from Tropical Depression Neneng maintain similar moisture and wind fields, keeping maximum temperatures from exceeding 33 °C or falling below 30 °C. Traders therefore price the narrow 31–32 °C window as the most probable outcome given the current steering pattern and lack of clear-air subsidence that would allow stronger solar heating.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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