National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus currently favor a high near 106°F in Dallas on August 21 under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies, with limited moisture to moderate temperatures. Recent runs show little change from the ongoing heat wave that produced 106°F readings earlier in the week, keeping the 104–107°F bins as the market’s strongest implied probabilities. Subtle variations in steering flow or afternoon mixing could shift the exact peak by a degree or two, while any unexpected cloud cover or outflow boundary remains the main downside risk to the upper bins. Updated short-range model guidance and the official NWS forecast discussion ahead of the daily maximum will provide the next key inputs for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on August 21?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 21?
104-105°F 52%
106-107°F 28%
112-113°F 10%
102-103°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
99°F or below
2%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
52%
106-107°F
28%
108-109°F
5%
110-111°F
6%
112-113°F
10%
114-115°F
7%
116-117°F
5%
118°F or higher
1%
104-105°F 52%
106-107°F 28%
112-113°F 10%
102-103°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
99°F or below
$19 Обс.
2%
100-101°F
$214 Обс.
4%
102-103°F
$0 Обс.
9%
104-105°F
$64 Обс.
52%
106-107°F
$81 Обс.
28%
108-109°F
$0 Обс.
5%
110-111°F
$5 Обс.
6%
112-113°F
$48 Обс.
10%
114-115°F
$5 Обс.
7%
116-117°F
$5 Обс.
5%
118°F or higher
$80 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus currently favor a high near 106°F in Dallas on August 21 under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies, with limited moisture to moderate temperatures. Recent runs show little change from the ongoing heat wave that produced 106°F readings earlier in the week, keeping the 104–107°F bins as the market’s strongest implied probabilities. Subtle variations in steering flow or afternoon mixing could shift the exact peak by a degree or two, while any unexpected cloud cover or outflow boundary remains the main downside risk to the upper bins. Updated short-range model guidance and the official NWS forecast discussion ahead of the daily maximum will provide the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$522Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus currently favor a high near 106°F in Dallas on August 21 under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies, with limited moisture to moderate temperatures. Recent runs show little change from the ongoing heat wave that produced 106°F readings earlier in the week, keeping the 104–107°F bins as the market’s strongest implied probabilities. Subtle variations in steering flow or afternoon mixing could shift the exact peak by a degree or two, while any unexpected cloud cover or outflow boundary remains the main downside risk to the upper bins. Updated short-range model guidance and the official NWS forecast discussion ahead of the daily maximum will provide the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$522Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus currently favor a high near 106°F in Dallas on August 21 under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies, with limited moisture to moderate temperatures. Recent runs show little change from the ongoing heat wave that produced 106°F readings earlier in the week, keeping the 104–107°F bins as the market’s strongest implied probabilities. Subtle variations in steering flow or afternoon mixing could shift the exact peak by a degree or two, while any unexpected cloud cover or outflow boundary remains the main downside risk to the upper bins. Updated short-range model guidance and the official NWS forecast discussion ahead of the daily maximum will provide the next key inputs for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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