Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over North Texas are positioning official National Weather Service forecasts for a Dallas high of 104–106°F on August 19, aligning with the market’s leading 104–105°F outcome at 55% implied probability. Sunny skies, light winds, and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s should limit moderation while pushing heat indices above 105°F. This builds on an already above-normal August, with 2026 mean temperatures through mid-month ranking among the region’s top ten hottest on record and multiple days already exceeding 100°F. Limited model spread and no incoming fronts or moisture support only modest downside risk to the 102–103°F bin, while upside beyond 106°F remains constrained by typical late-summer steering patterns. Final NWS observations will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on August 19?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 19?
104-105°F 55%
102-103°F 32%
106-107°F 9%
108-109°F 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
99°F or below
2%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
32%
104-105°F
55%
106-107°F
9%
108-109°F
7%
110-111°F
3%
112-113°F
1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 55%
102-103°F 32%
106-107°F 9%
108-109°F 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
99°F or below
$5 Обс.
2%
100-101°F
$0 Обс.
5%
102-103°F
$64 Обс.
32%
104-105°F
$95 Обс.
55%
106-107°F
$0 Обс.
9%
108-109°F
$2 Обс.
7%
110-111°F
$52 Обс.
3%
112-113°F
$85 Обс.
1%
114-115°F
$15 Обс.
<1%
116-117°F
$10 Обс.
<1%
118°F or higher
$90 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over North Texas are positioning official National Weather Service forecasts for a Dallas high of 104–106°F on August 19, aligning with the market’s leading 104–105°F outcome at 55% implied probability. Sunny skies, light winds, and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s should limit moderation while pushing heat indices above 105°F. This builds on an already above-normal August, with 2026 mean temperatures through mid-month ranking among the region’s top ten hottest on record and multiple days already exceeding 100°F. Limited model spread and no incoming fronts or moisture support only modest downside risk to the 102–103°F bin, while upside beyond 106°F remains constrained by typical late-summer steering patterns. Final NWS observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$418Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over North Texas are positioning official National Weather Service forecasts for a Dallas high of 104–106°F on August 19, aligning with the market’s leading 104–105°F outcome at 55% implied probability. Sunny skies, light winds, and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s should limit moderation while pushing heat indices above 105°F. This builds on an already above-normal August, with 2026 mean temperatures through mid-month ranking among the region’s top ten hottest on record and multiple days already exceeding 100°F. Limited model spread and no incoming fronts or moisture support only modest downside risk to the 102–103°F bin, while upside beyond 106°F remains constrained by typical late-summer steering patterns. Final NWS observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$418Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over North Texas are positioning official National Weather Service forecasts for a Dallas high of 104–106°F on August 19, aligning with the market’s leading 104–105°F outcome at 55% implied probability. Sunny skies, light winds, and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s should limit moderation while pushing heat indices above 105°F. This builds on an already above-normal August, with 2026 mean temperatures through mid-month ranking among the region’s top ten hottest on record and multiple days already exceeding 100°F. Limited model spread and no incoming fronts or moisture support only modest downside risk to the 102–103°F bin, while upside beyond 106°F remains constrained by typical late-summer steering patterns. Final NWS observations will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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