Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and ECMWF show model consensus for a daytime maximum of 19–21°C in Amsterdam on August 21, driven by moderate westerly flow off the North Sea and variable cloud cover with possible light showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-August, where typical highs range 20–22°C under maritime influence that limits extreme warming. Ensemble runs indicate low potential for stronger highs unless clearer skies and reduced winds develop, while cooler outcomes would require more persistent cloud or stronger onshore flow. The market’s heavy weighting toward 19–21°C reflects this tight forecast distribution and the resolution criterion of the official KNMI observation for the highest temperature recorded that day. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine probabilities ahead of the 24-hour window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 21?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 21?
20°C 50%
21°C 24%
19°C 22%
22°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
22%
20°C
50%
21°C
24%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 50%
21°C 24%
19°C 22%
22°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
15°C or below
$182 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$302 Обс.
1%
17°C
$145 Обс.
2%
18°C
$174 Обс.
3%
19°C
$833 Обс.
22%
20°C
$3,295 Обс.
50%
21°C
$1,311 Обс.
24%
22°C
$531 Обс.
4%
23°C
$157 Обс.
1%
24°C
$182 Обс.
<1%
25°C or higher
$203 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and ECMWF show model consensus for a daytime maximum of 19–21°C in Amsterdam on August 21, driven by moderate westerly flow off the North Sea and variable cloud cover with possible light showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-August, where typical highs range 20–22°C under maritime influence that limits extreme warming. Ensemble runs indicate low potential for stronger highs unless clearer skies and reduced winds develop, while cooler outcomes would require more persistent cloud or stronger onshore flow. The market’s heavy weighting toward 19–21°C reflects this tight forecast distribution and the resolution criterion of the official KNMI observation for the highest temperature recorded that day. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine probabilities ahead of the 24-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,314Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and ECMWF show model consensus for a daytime maximum of 19–21°C in Amsterdam on August 21, driven by moderate westerly flow off the North Sea and variable cloud cover with possible light showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-August, where typical highs range 20–22°C under maritime influence that limits extreme warming. Ensemble runs indicate low potential for stronger highs unless clearer skies and reduced winds develop, while cooler outcomes would require more persistent cloud or stronger onshore flow. The market’s heavy weighting toward 19–21°C reflects this tight forecast distribution and the resolution criterion of the official KNMI observation for the highest temperature recorded that day. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine probabilities ahead of the 24-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,314Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and ECMWF show model consensus for a daytime maximum of 19–21°C in Amsterdam on August 21, driven by moderate westerly flow off the North Sea and variable cloud cover with possible light showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-August, where typical highs range 20–22°C under maritime influence that limits extreme warming. Ensemble runs indicate low potential for stronger highs unless clearer skies and reduced winds develop, while cooler outcomes would require more persistent cloud or stronger onshore flow. The market’s heavy weighting toward 19–21°C reflects this tight forecast distribution and the resolution criterion of the official KNMI observation for the highest temperature recorded that day. Updated model guidance expected overnight could refine probabilities ahead of the 24-hour window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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