Recent National Weather Service forecast models position the 76-77°F range as the leading outcome for New York City’s high on August 22, reflecting ensemble consensus around moderate daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and a weak high-pressure ridge. This setup aligns with late-August climatology near Central Park, where marine-layer influence from the Atlantic often caps peaks below the 83°F seasonal average. Lower probabilities for 78-79°F or higher stem from limited instability and steering patterns that reduce advection of warmer air masses, while the slim chance of sub-74°F readings reflects minimal cold-front intrusion risk in current guidance. Traders are watching the next NWS update for any adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover that could shift the implied distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on August 22?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 22?
76-77°F 46%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 16%
82-83°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
46%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 46%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 16%
82-83°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
67°F or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$5 Обс.
1%
70-71°F
$5 Обс.
1%
72-73°F
$13 Обс.
8%
74-75°F
$23 Обс.
16%
76-77°F
$15 Обс.
46%
78-79°F
$10 Обс.
22%
80-81°F
$5 Обс.
8%
82-83°F
$27 Обс.
9%
84-85°F
$5 Обс.
1%
86°F or higher
$86 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecast models position the 76-77°F range as the leading outcome for New York City’s high on August 22, reflecting ensemble consensus around moderate daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and a weak high-pressure ridge. This setup aligns with late-August climatology near Central Park, where marine-layer influence from the Atlantic often caps peaks below the 83°F seasonal average. Lower probabilities for 78-79°F or higher stem from limited instability and steering patterns that reduce advection of warmer air masses, while the slim chance of sub-74°F readings reflects minimal cold-front intrusion risk in current guidance. Traders are watching the next NWS update for any adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover that could shift the implied distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$194Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecast models position the 76-77°F range as the leading outcome for New York City’s high on August 22, reflecting ensemble consensus around moderate daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and a weak high-pressure ridge. This setup aligns with late-August climatology near Central Park, where marine-layer influence from the Atlantic often caps peaks below the 83°F seasonal average. Lower probabilities for 78-79°F or higher stem from limited instability and steering patterns that reduce advection of warmer air masses, while the slim chance of sub-74°F readings reflects minimal cold-front intrusion risk in current guidance. Traders are watching the next NWS update for any adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover that could shift the implied distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$194Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecast models position the 76-77°F range as the leading outcome for New York City’s high on August 22, reflecting ensemble consensus around moderate daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and a weak high-pressure ridge. This setup aligns with late-August climatology near Central Park, where marine-layer influence from the Atlantic often caps peaks below the 83°F seasonal average. Lower probabilities for 78-79°F or higher stem from limited instability and steering patterns that reduce advection of warmer air masses, while the slim chance of sub-74°F readings reflects minimal cold-front intrusion risk in current guidance. Traders are watching the next NWS update for any adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover that could shift the implied distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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