Ongoing summer heat dome conditions over the southern Plains and Gulf Coast, with model consensus pointing to overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, underpin the tightly bunched market odds centered on 78–81°F. Typical August radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, moderated by high humidity and light southerly flow off the Gulf, limits significant drops below the seasonal 77–78°F baseline. Minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or isolated shower timing can shift the daily minimum across adjacent 2°F bins, sustaining the near-even implied probabilities among the leading outcomes while keeping lower-probability tails (below 74°F or above 85°F) suppressed. Updated National Weather Service guidance ahead of the evening transition will likely refine trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Houston on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 22?
78-79°F 28%
80-81°F 28%
74-75°F 27%
76-77°F 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 28%
80-81°F 28%
74-75°F 27%
76-77°F 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
71°F or below
$27 Обс.
1%
72-73°F
$22 Обс.
9%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
27%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
27%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
28%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
28%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
27%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
27%
86-87°F
$25 Обс.
22%
88-89°F
$32 Обс.
2%
90°F or higher
$22 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing summer heat dome conditions over the southern Plains and Gulf Coast, with model consensus pointing to overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, underpin the tightly bunched market odds centered on 78–81°F. Typical August radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, moderated by high humidity and light southerly flow off the Gulf, limits significant drops below the seasonal 77–78°F baseline. Minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or isolated shower timing can shift the daily minimum across adjacent 2°F bins, sustaining the near-even implied probabilities among the leading outcomes while keeping lower-probability tails (below 74°F or above 85°F) suppressed. Updated National Weather Service guidance ahead of the evening transition will likely refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$127Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing summer heat dome conditions over the southern Plains and Gulf Coast, with model consensus pointing to overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, underpin the tightly bunched market odds centered on 78–81°F. Typical August radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, moderated by high humidity and light southerly flow off the Gulf, limits significant drops below the seasonal 77–78°F baseline. Minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or isolated shower timing can shift the daily minimum across adjacent 2°F bins, sustaining the near-even implied probabilities among the leading outcomes while keeping lower-probability tails (below 74°F or above 85°F) suppressed. Updated National Weather Service guidance ahead of the evening transition will likely refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$127Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing summer heat dome conditions over the southern Plains and Gulf Coast, with model consensus pointing to overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, underpin the tightly bunched market odds centered on 78–81°F. Typical August radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, moderated by high humidity and light southerly flow off the Gulf, limits significant drops below the seasonal 77–78°F baseline. Minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or isolated shower timing can shift the daily minimum across adjacent 2°F bins, sustaining the near-even implied probabilities among the leading outcomes while keeping lower-probability tails (below 74°F or above 85°F) suppressed. Updated National Weather Service guidance ahead of the evening transition will likely refine trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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