Recent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai indicate a highest temperature most likely in the 30–32°C range on August 21, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, high humidity, and scattered thundershowers expected to increase cloud cover and limit daytime heating. Current model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and climatological outlooks shows daily maxima near 31°C, consistent with typical late-August conditions featuring frequent convective activity that often caps peaks below historical extremes. Trader positioning reflects this uncertainty around storm timing and intensity, with 31°C holding the plurality as the implied mode while nearby outcomes capture model spread and potential for slight variations in steering flow or rainfall onset. Updated guidance from official meteorological services ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 21?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 21?
31°C 39%
30°C 30%
32°C 16%
29°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
12%
30°C
30%
31°C
39%
32°C
16%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
30°C 30%
32°C 16%
29°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
24°C or below
$336 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$736 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$385 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$174 Обс.
1%
28°C
$37 Обс.
4%
29°C
$193 Обс.
12%
30°C
$174 Обс.
30%
31°C
$69 Обс.
39%
32°C
$445 Обс.
16%
33°C
$12 Обс.
4%
34°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai indicate a highest temperature most likely in the 30–32°C range on August 21, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, high humidity, and scattered thundershowers expected to increase cloud cover and limit daytime heating. Current model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and climatological outlooks shows daily maxima near 31°C, consistent with typical late-August conditions featuring frequent convective activity that often caps peaks below historical extremes. Trader positioning reflects this uncertainty around storm timing and intensity, with 31°C holding the plurality as the implied mode while nearby outcomes capture model spread and potential for slight variations in steering flow or rainfall onset. Updated guidance from official meteorological services ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,560Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai indicate a highest temperature most likely in the 30–32°C range on August 21, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, high humidity, and scattered thundershowers expected to increase cloud cover and limit daytime heating. Current model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and climatological outlooks shows daily maxima near 31°C, consistent with typical late-August conditions featuring frequent convective activity that often caps peaks below historical extremes. Trader positioning reflects this uncertainty around storm timing and intensity, with 31°C holding the plurality as the implied mode while nearby outcomes capture model spread and potential for slight variations in steering flow or rainfall onset. Updated guidance from official meteorological services ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,560Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai indicate a highest temperature most likely in the 30–32°C range on August 21, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, high humidity, and scattered thundershowers expected to increase cloud cover and limit daytime heating. Current model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and climatological outlooks shows daily maxima near 31°C, consistent with typical late-August conditions featuring frequent convective activity that often caps peaks below historical extremes. Trader positioning reflects this uncertainty around storm timing and intensity, with 31°C holding the plurality as the implied mode while nearby outcomes capture model spread and potential for slight variations in steering flow or rainfall onset. Updated guidance from official meteorological services ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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