Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and regional outlooks show Shanghai experiencing typical late-August conditions, with daytime highs near 30–33°C and overnight lows stabilizing around 26–27°C amid high humidity, light winds, and scattered thundershowers. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures in this narrow range on August 21. Trader consensus reflected in the market odds aligns closely with this model consensus, as persistent subtropical warmth and moisture keep the 27°C outcome leading at 55% implied probability while 26°C trails at 32%. No significant cooling fronts or typhoon influences appear imminent to shift the range before the observation window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 21?
27°C 54%
26°C 29%
28°C 10%
25°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
29%
27°C
54%
28°C
10%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 54%
26°C 29%
28°C 10%
25°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$15 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$5 Обс.
1%
24°C
$273 Обс.
1%
25°C
$80 Обс.
8%
26°C
$33 Обс.
29%
27°C
$262 Обс.
54%
28°C
$20 Обс.
10%
29°C
$33 Обс.
3%
30°C
$15 Обс.
1%
31°C
$27 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$33 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and regional outlooks show Shanghai experiencing typical late-August conditions, with daytime highs near 30–33°C and overnight lows stabilizing around 26–27°C amid high humidity, light winds, and scattered thundershowers. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures in this narrow range on August 21. Trader consensus reflected in the market odds aligns closely with this model consensus, as persistent subtropical warmth and moisture keep the 27°C outcome leading at 55% implied probability while 26°C trails at 32%. No significant cooling fronts or typhoon influences appear imminent to shift the range before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$796Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and regional outlooks show Shanghai experiencing typical late-August conditions, with daytime highs near 30–33°C and overnight lows stabilizing around 26–27°C amid high humidity, light winds, and scattered thundershowers. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures in this narrow range on August 21. Trader consensus reflected in the market odds aligns closely with this model consensus, as persistent subtropical warmth and moisture keep the 27°C outcome leading at 55% implied probability while 26°C trails at 32%. No significant cooling fronts or typhoon influences appear imminent to shift the range before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$796Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like timeanddate and regional outlooks show Shanghai experiencing typical late-August conditions, with daytime highs near 30–33°C and overnight lows stabilizing around 26–27°C amid high humidity, light winds, and scattered thundershowers. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting minimum temperatures in this narrow range on August 21. Trader consensus reflected in the market odds aligns closely with this model consensus, as persistent subtropical warmth and moisture keep the 27°C outcome leading at 55% implied probability while 26°C trails at 32%. No significant cooling fronts or typhoon influences appear imminent to shift the range before the observation window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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