Latest forecast guidance from agencies and models projects Mexico City’s overnight low on August 22 near 13–14 °C, driving the near-even market split between the 14 °C (35.5 %) and 15 °C (34 %) outcomes. At the city’s 2,240 m elevation, clear-sky radiative cooling under the influence of a strengthening subtropical ridge and residual monsoon moisture typically produces minimums 1–3 °C below the August climatological average of 14–15 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread in boundary-layer temperatures and dew points, with only modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover or localized showers. Traders are therefore weighting the 12–16 °C range heavily while assigning low probability to extremes below 11 °C or above 16 °C, consistent with historical late-August observations and the absence of anomalous synoptic forcing. Updated short-range guidance tonight will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 22?
14°C 36%
15°C 34%
16°C or higher 27%
12°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
15%
10°C
2%
11°C
24%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
36%
15°C
34%
16°C or higher
27%
14°C 36%
15°C 34%
16°C or higher 27%
12°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
6°C or below
$20 Обс.
1%
7°C
$25 Обс.
1%
8°C
$22 Обс.
1%
9°C
$25 Обс.
15%
10°C
$25 Обс.
2%
11°C
$0 Обс.
24%
12°C
$0 Обс.
27%
13°C
$0 Обс.
27%
14°C
$0 Обс.
36%
15°C
$0 Обс.
34%
16°C or higher
$0 Обс.
27%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from agencies and models projects Mexico City’s overnight low on August 22 near 13–14 °C, driving the near-even market split between the 14 °C (35.5 %) and 15 °C (34 %) outcomes. At the city’s 2,240 m elevation, clear-sky radiative cooling under the influence of a strengthening subtropical ridge and residual monsoon moisture typically produces minimums 1–3 °C below the August climatological average of 14–15 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread in boundary-layer temperatures and dew points, with only modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover or localized showers. Traders are therefore weighting the 12–16 °C range heavily while assigning low probability to extremes below 11 °C or above 16 °C, consistent with historical late-August observations and the absence of anomalous synoptic forcing. Updated short-range guidance tonight will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$117Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from agencies and models projects Mexico City’s overnight low on August 22 near 13–14 °C, driving the near-even market split between the 14 °C (35.5 %) and 15 °C (34 %) outcomes. At the city’s 2,240 m elevation, clear-sky radiative cooling under the influence of a strengthening subtropical ridge and residual monsoon moisture typically produces minimums 1–3 °C below the August climatological average of 14–15 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread in boundary-layer temperatures and dew points, with only modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover or localized showers. Traders are therefore weighting the 12–16 °C range heavily while assigning low probability to extremes below 11 °C or above 16 °C, consistent with historical late-August observations and the absence of anomalous synoptic forcing. Updated short-range guidance tonight will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$117Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from agencies and models projects Mexico City’s overnight low on August 22 near 13–14 °C, driving the near-even market split between the 14 °C (35.5 %) and 15 °C (34 %) outcomes. At the city’s 2,240 m elevation, clear-sky radiative cooling under the influence of a strengthening subtropical ridge and residual monsoon moisture typically produces minimums 1–3 °C below the August climatological average of 14–15 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread in boundary-layer temperatures and dew points, with only modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover or localized showers. Traders are therefore weighting the 12–16 °C range heavily while assigning low probability to extremes below 11 °C or above 16 °C, consistent with historical late-August observations and the absence of anomalous synoptic forcing. Updated short-range guidance tonight will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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