Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies indicate a highest temperature in Milan on August 21 most likely between 23–25 °C, with ensembles showing a narrow spread around 24 °C amid thundery showers and increased cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 23 °C and 24 °C, reflecting recent model runs that have trended slightly cooler than seasonal averages of 26–28 °C. Key variables include steering patterns and moisture from Atlantic or Mediterranean flows, which could either suppress or briefly enhance peaks depending on timing of convection. Updated high-resolution guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on August 21?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 21?
23°C 37%
24°C 30%
22°C 14%
25°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
14%
23°C
37%
24°C
30%
25°C
11%
26°C or higher
4%
23°C 37%
24°C 30%
22°C 14%
25°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
$504 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$504 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$544 Обс.
1%
19°C
$13 Обс.
1%
20°C
$34 Обс.
1%
21°C
$0 Обс.
5%
22°C
$0 Обс.
14%
23°C
$1 Обс.
37%
24°C
$30 Обс.
30%
25°C
$0 Обс.
11%
26°C or higher
$70 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies indicate a highest temperature in Milan on August 21 most likely between 23–25 °C, with ensembles showing a narrow spread around 24 °C amid thundery showers and increased cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 23 °C and 24 °C, reflecting recent model runs that have trended slightly cooler than seasonal averages of 26–28 °C. Key variables include steering patterns and moisture from Atlantic or Mediterranean flows, which could either suppress or briefly enhance peaks depending on timing of convection. Updated high-resolution guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,701Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies indicate a highest temperature in Milan on August 21 most likely between 23–25 °C, with ensembles showing a narrow spread around 24 °C amid thundery showers and increased cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 23 °C and 24 °C, reflecting recent model runs that have trended slightly cooler than seasonal averages of 26–28 °C. Key variables include steering patterns and moisture from Atlantic or Mediterranean flows, which could either suppress or briefly enhance peaks depending on timing of convection. Updated high-resolution guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,701Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and national agencies indicate a highest temperature in Milan on August 21 most likely between 23–25 °C, with ensembles showing a narrow spread around 24 °C amid thundery showers and increased cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 23 °C and 24 °C, reflecting recent model runs that have trended slightly cooler than seasonal averages of 26–28 °C. Key variables include steering patterns and moisture from Atlantic or Mediterranean flows, which could either suppress or briefly enhance peaks depending on timing of convection. Updated high-resolution guidance over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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