Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 19 most likely between 32–34°C under a persistent summer anticyclone over the Po Valley. This setup promotes subsidence warming and clear skies, though subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and the timing of any afternoon instability or scattered convection introduce downside risk to the daily maximum. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, while urban heat island effects and moderate humidity can elevate official readings by 1–2°C. Model spreads center on these factors, driving the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 32°C and 33°C outcomes as traders weigh the latest high-resolution guidance ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on August 19?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 19?
32°C 37%
33°C 35%
31°C 13%
34°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
30°C or below
4%
31°C
13%
32°C
37%
33°C
35%
34°C
11%
35°C
4%
36°C
5%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
33°C 35%
31°C 13%
34°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
30°C or below
$0 Обс.
4%
31°C
$4 Обс.
13%
32°C
$22 Обс.
37%
33°C
$28 Обс.
35%
34°C
$11 Обс.
11%
35°C
$0 Обс.
4%
36°C
$6 Обс.
5%
37°C
$5 Обс.
4%
38°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
39°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
40°C or higher
$5 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 19 most likely between 32–34°C under a persistent summer anticyclone over the Po Valley. This setup promotes subsidence warming and clear skies, though subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and the timing of any afternoon instability or scattered convection introduce downside risk to the daily maximum. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, while urban heat island effects and moderate humidity can elevate official readings by 1–2°C. Model spreads center on these factors, driving the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 32°C and 33°C outcomes as traders weigh the latest high-resolution guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$81Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 19 most likely between 32–34°C under a persistent summer anticyclone over the Po Valley. This setup promotes subsidence warming and clear skies, though subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and the timing of any afternoon instability or scattered convection introduce downside risk to the daily maximum. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, while urban heat island effects and moderate humidity can elevate official readings by 1–2°C. Model spreads center on these factors, driving the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 32°C and 33°C outcomes as traders weigh the latest high-resolution guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$81Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 19 most likely between 32–34°C under a persistent summer anticyclone over the Po Valley. This setup promotes subsidence warming and clear skies, though subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and the timing of any afternoon instability or scattered convection introduce downside risk to the daily maximum. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, while urban heat island effects and moderate humidity can elevate official readings by 1–2°C. Model spreads center on these factors, driving the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 32°C and 33°C outcomes as traders weigh the latest high-resolution guidance ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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