Trader consensus centers on 98–101°F outcomes for Houston’s August 22 high because official National Weather Service and model guidance point to a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, humid conditions with afternoon highs near 100°F. Limited cloud cover and weak steering flow favor peak temperatures in that range, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average 95–97°F but routinely reach the upper 90s under similar ridging. Minor afternoon convection or slight model spread in boundary-layer moisture could cap readings at 98–99°F or allow brief pushes to 100–101°F, explaining the tight split between those two bins. No significant frontal passage or tropical moisture surge is expected before resolution, keeping uncertainty low within the historical envelope for late-summer heat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on August 22?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 22?
100-101°F 45%
98-99°F 38%
102-103°F 9%
96-97°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
45%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 45%
98-99°F 38%
102-103°F 9%
96-97°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
91°F or below
$24 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$45 Обс.
1%
94-95°F
$74 Обс.
2%
96-97°F
$228 Обс.
8%
98-99°F
$232 Обс.
38%
100-101°F
$157 Обс.
45%
102-103°F
$114 Обс.
9%
104-105°F
$154 Обс.
2%
106-107°F
$5 Обс.
2%
108-109°F
$24 Обс.
1%
110°F or higher
$19 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 98–101°F outcomes for Houston’s August 22 high because official National Weather Service and model guidance point to a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, humid conditions with afternoon highs near 100°F. Limited cloud cover and weak steering flow favor peak temperatures in that range, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average 95–97°F but routinely reach the upper 90s under similar ridging. Minor afternoon convection or slight model spread in boundary-layer moisture could cap readings at 98–99°F or allow brief pushes to 100–101°F, explaining the tight split between those two bins. No significant frontal passage or tropical moisture surge is expected before resolution, keeping uncertainty low within the historical envelope for late-summer heat.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,075Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 98–101°F outcomes for Houston’s August 22 high because official National Weather Service and model guidance point to a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, humid conditions with afternoon highs near 100°F. Limited cloud cover and weak steering flow favor peak temperatures in that range, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average 95–97°F but routinely reach the upper 90s under similar ridging. Minor afternoon convection or slight model spread in boundary-layer moisture could cap readings at 98–99°F or allow brief pushes to 100–101°F, explaining the tight split between those two bins. No significant frontal passage or tropical moisture surge is expected before resolution, keeping uncertainty low within the historical envelope for late-summer heat.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,075Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 98–101°F outcomes for Houston’s August 22 high because official National Weather Service and model guidance point to a persistent upper-level ridge maintaining hot, humid conditions with afternoon highs near 100°F. Limited cloud cover and weak steering flow favor peak temperatures in that range, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average 95–97°F but routinely reach the upper 90s under similar ridging. Minor afternoon convection or slight model spread in boundary-layer moisture could cap readings at 98–99°F or allow brief pushes to 100–101°F, explaining the tight split between those two bins. No significant frontal passage or tropical moisture surge is expected before resolution, keeping uncertainty low within the historical envelope for late-summer heat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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