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Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

27°C 39%

26°C 33%

28°C 16%

25°C 16%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

27°C 39%

26°C 33%

28°C 16%

25°C 16%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

22°C or below

$660 Обс.

<1%

23°C

$161 Обс.

1%

24°C

$434 Обс.

2%

25°C

$367 Обс.

16%

26°C

$530 Обс.

33%

27°C

$360 Обс.

39%

28°C

$671 Обс.

16%

29°C

$1,208 Обс.

3%

30°C

$378 Обс.

1%

31°C

$501 Обс.

<1%

32°C or higher

$516 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C on August 22, driven by persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thundershowers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with August climatology, where average minimums hover around 27°C amid above-normal seasonal temperatures. Trader consensus reflects this stability, with 27°C commanding the highest implied probability at 41.5%, while any unexpected clearer skies or stronger winds could shift readings toward 25–26°C. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$5,783
Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C on August 22, driven by persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thundershowers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with August climatology, where average minimums hover around 27°C amid above-normal seasonal temperatures. Trader consensus reflects this stability, with 27°C commanding the highest implied probability at 41.5%, while any unexpected clearer skies or stronger winds could shift readings toward 25–26°C. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$5,783
Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «27°C» з 39%, далі «26°C» з 33%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 20, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?» — «27°C» з 39%. Наступний — «26°C» з 33%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.