Wellington, New Zealand, experiences peak August wind gusts shaped by its position on Cook Strait, where the Roaring Forties are funneled and accelerated by steep terrain and pressure gradients between persistent highs and approaching cold fronts. Recent mid-August events have already produced measured gusts of 110–160 km/h at exposed sites like Baring Head and Kelburn, with forecasts calling for additional 130 km/h episodes through the month’s end. These observations and model runs support the current market tilt toward a monthly peak in the 94–103 km/h band, while leaving room for a higher outlier if a stronger southerly or northwest event materializes before August closes. Historical winter climatology shows gusts routinely exceed 100 km/h, yet exact resolution hinges on official MetService or NIWA station maxima.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPeak wind gust in the world's windiest city in August
94 to 103 km/h 47%
104 km/h or above 37%
93 km/h or below 0
93 km/h or below
44%
94 to 103 km/h
47%
104 km/h or above
37%
94 to 103 km/h 47%
104 km/h or above 37%
93 km/h or below 0
93 km/h or below
44%
94 to 103 km/h
47%
104 km/h or above
37%
The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=8&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=8&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
Wellington, New Zealand, experiences peak August wind gusts shaped by its position on Cook Strait, where the Roaring Forties are funneled and accelerated by steep terrain and pressure gradients between persistent highs and approaching cold fronts. Recent mid-August events have already produced measured gusts of 110–160 km/h at exposed sites like Baring Head and Kelburn, with forecasts calling for additional 130 km/h episodes through the month’s end. These observations and model runs support the current market tilt toward a monthly peak in the 94–103 km/h band, while leaving room for a higher outlier if a stronger southerly or northwest event materializes before August closes. Historical winter climatology shows gusts routinely exceed 100 km/h, yet exact resolution hinges on official MetService or NIWA station maxima.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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