Current short-term forecasts from MetService and international models indicate overnight lows of 10–12°C in Wellington on August 22, driven by a mix of northerly flows and partial cloud cover that limit radiational cooling under El Niño-influenced patterns. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 10°C (30.5%), 11°C (41.5%), and 12°C (29.5%), while colder outcomes like 8–9°C or 7°C or below reflect potential for clearer skies or stronger southerlies not yet dominant in guidance. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 6–9°C, providing context for the slight warming bias in current runs; updated model consensus ahead of the overnight period will determine final resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wellington on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 22?
11°C 60%
10°C 30%
12°C 28%
8°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
7°C or below
22%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
30%
11°C
42%
12°C
28%
13°C
27%
14°C
4%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
1%
11°C 60%
10°C 30%
12°C 28%
8°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
7°C or below
$68 Обс.
22%
8°C
$0 Обс.
27%
9°C
$0 Обс.
27%
10°C
$1 Обс.
30%
11°C
$32 Обс.
42%
12°C
$0 Обс.
28%
13°C
$0 Обс.
27%
14°C
$199 Обс.
4%
15°C
$71 Обс.
1%
16°C
$20 Обс.
<1%
17°C or higher
$73 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from MetService and international models indicate overnight lows of 10–12°C in Wellington on August 22, driven by a mix of northerly flows and partial cloud cover that limit radiational cooling under El Niño-influenced patterns. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 10°C (30.5%), 11°C (41.5%), and 12°C (29.5%), while colder outcomes like 8–9°C or 7°C or below reflect potential for clearer skies or stronger southerlies not yet dominant in guidance. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 6–9°C, providing context for the slight warming bias in current runs; updated model consensus ahead of the overnight period will determine final resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Обсяг
$463Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from MetService and international models indicate overnight lows of 10–12°C in Wellington on August 22, driven by a mix of northerly flows and partial cloud cover that limit radiational cooling under El Niño-influenced patterns. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 10°C (30.5%), 11°C (41.5%), and 12°C (29.5%), while colder outcomes like 8–9°C or 7°C or below reflect potential for clearer skies or stronger southerlies not yet dominant in guidance. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 6–9°C, providing context for the slight warming bias in current runs; updated model consensus ahead of the overnight period will determine final resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$463Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from MetService and international models indicate overnight lows of 10–12°C in Wellington on August 22, driven by a mix of northerly flows and partial cloud cover that limit radiational cooling under El Niño-influenced patterns. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 10°C (30.5%), 11°C (41.5%), and 12°C (29.5%), while colder outcomes like 8–9°C or 7°C or below reflect potential for clearer skies or stronger southerlies not yet dominant in guidance. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 6–9°C, providing context for the slight warming bias in current runs; updated model consensus ahead of the overnight period will determine final resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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