Forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and international sources project a daytime high near 31°C for Tokyo on August 22, 2026, driven by partly cloudy to overcast skies, light variable winds, and an 80% chance of thunderstorms that limit solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent observations show highs of 30–33°C amid humid conditions and scattered rain, aligning with typical late-August climatology but tempered by expected cloud cover. This consensus supports the market-implied lead for 31°C at 43.5%, with 30°C and 32°C as close alternatives depending on exact timing of any precipitation or clearing. Traders weigh model spread and official station data, noting that rapid changes in convective activity could shift the observed maximum within the narrow 30–33°C range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 22?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 22?
31°C 45%
32°C 27%
30°C 21%
33°C 6%
НОВЕ
$24,537 Обс.
НОВЕ
$24,537 Обс.
Aug 22, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
21%
31°C
45%
32°C
27%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
32°C 27%
30°C 21%
33°C 6%
НОВЕ
$24,537 Обс.
НОВЕ
$24,537 Обс.
Aug 22, 2026
26°C or below
$1,364 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$1,955 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$1,286 Обс.
1%
29°C
$1,476 Обс.
3%
30°C
$2,994 Обс.
21%
31°C
$1,403 Обс.
45%
32°C
$2,518 Обс.
27%
33°C
$1,931 Обс.
6%
34°C
$1,652 Обс.
2%
35°C
$2,804 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$5,155 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and international sources project a daytime high near 31°C for Tokyo on August 22, 2026, driven by partly cloudy to overcast skies, light variable winds, and an 80% chance of thunderstorms that limit solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent observations show highs of 30–33°C amid humid conditions and scattered rain, aligning with typical late-August climatology but tempered by expected cloud cover. This consensus supports the market-implied lead for 31°C at 43.5%, with 30°C and 32°C as close alternatives depending on exact timing of any precipitation or clearing. Traders weigh model spread and official station data, noting that rapid changes in convective activity could shift the observed maximum within the narrow 30–33°C range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$24,537Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and international sources project a daytime high near 31°C for Tokyo on August 22, 2026, driven by partly cloudy to overcast skies, light variable winds, and an 80% chance of thunderstorms that limit solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent observations show highs of 30–33°C amid humid conditions and scattered rain, aligning with typical late-August climatology but tempered by expected cloud cover. This consensus supports the market-implied lead for 31°C at 43.5%, with 30°C and 32°C as close alternatives depending on exact timing of any precipitation or clearing. Traders weigh model spread and official station data, noting that rapid changes in convective activity could shift the observed maximum within the narrow 30–33°C range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$24,537Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and international sources project a daytime high near 31°C for Tokyo on August 22, 2026, driven by partly cloudy to overcast skies, light variable winds, and an 80% chance of thunderstorms that limit solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent observations show highs of 30–33°C amid humid conditions and scattered rain, aligning with typical late-August climatology but tempered by expected cloud cover. This consensus supports the market-implied lead for 31°C at 43.5%, with 30°C and 32°C as close alternatives depending on exact timing of any precipitation or clearing. Traders weigh model spread and official station data, noting that rapid changes in convective activity could shift the observed maximum within the narrow 30–33°C range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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