Recent model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles points to overnight lows in Tokyo near 24–25°C on August 22, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover under strengthening El Niño conditions that favor above-normal warmth. Historical August climatology shows average daily minima of 24–26°C (76°F), with the 10th–90th percentile range spanning roughly 22–28°C; current 48-hour forecasts indicate modest nocturnal cooling limited by light winds and possible showers, keeping the minimum tightly clustered around the market’s leading 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of any rainfall, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1°C. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 24–36 hours remain the primary near-term catalysts for odds movement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 22?
25°C 53%
26°C 28%
24°C 11%
28°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C
11%
25°C
33%
26°C
28%
27°C
10%
28°C
11%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
25°C 53%
26°C 28%
24°C 11%
28°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Обс.
4%
22°C
$0 Обс.
5%
23°C
$0 Обс.
7%
24°C
$0 Обс.
11%
25°C
$0 Обс.
33%
26°C
$0 Обс.
28%
27°C
$0 Обс.
10%
28°C
$5 Обс.
11%
29°C
$5 Обс.
6%
30°C
$0 Обс.
1%
31°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles points to overnight lows in Tokyo near 24–25°C on August 22, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover under strengthening El Niño conditions that favor above-normal warmth. Historical August climatology shows average daily minima of 24–26°C (76°F), with the 10th–90th percentile range spanning roughly 22–28°C; current 48-hour forecasts indicate modest nocturnal cooling limited by light winds and possible showers, keeping the minimum tightly clustered around the market’s leading 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of any rainfall, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1°C. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 24–36 hours remain the primary near-term catalysts for odds movement.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$15Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles points to overnight lows in Tokyo near 24–25°C on August 22, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover under strengthening El Niño conditions that favor above-normal warmth. Historical August climatology shows average daily minima of 24–26°C (76°F), with the 10th–90th percentile range spanning roughly 22–28°C; current 48-hour forecasts indicate modest nocturnal cooling limited by light winds and possible showers, keeping the minimum tightly clustered around the market’s leading 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of any rainfall, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1°C. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 24–36 hours remain the primary near-term catalysts for odds movement.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$15Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles points to overnight lows in Tokyo near 24–25°C on August 22, driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and variable cloud cover under strengthening El Niño conditions that favor above-normal warmth. Historical August climatology shows average daily minima of 24–26°C (76°F), with the 10th–90th percentile range spanning roughly 22–28°C; current 48-hour forecasts indicate modest nocturnal cooling limited by light winds and possible showers, keeping the minimum tightly clustered around the market’s leading 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of any rainfall, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1°C. Updated model runs and JMA briefings in the next 24–36 hours remain the primary near-term catalysts for odds movement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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