Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate overnight lows near 24–26°C on August 21 amid above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High, with cloudy conditions and possible showers expected to moderate radiative cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical minimums around 23–24°C, but 2026 seasonal outlooks and current model runs support elevated values due to persistent humidity and urban heat island effects. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 25°C and 26°C because small variations in cloud cover, wind, or precipitation timing can shift the exact minimum by 1°C, while lower or higher outcomes remain less probable given the limited forecast spread and lack of major synoptic disruptions. Updated model guidance and official observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 21?
26°C 42%
25°C 36%
27°C 13%
23°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
11%
24°C
9%
25°C
36%
26°C
42%
27°C
13%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 42%
25°C 36%
27°C 13%
23°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Обс.
4%
22°C
$0 Обс.
7%
23°C
$0 Обс.
11%
24°C
$0 Обс.
9%
25°C
$21 Обс.
36%
26°C
$0 Обс.
42%
27°C
$0 Обс.
13%
28°C
$0 Обс.
8%
29°C
$0 Обс.
1%
30°C
$12 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$6 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate overnight lows near 24–26°C on August 21 amid above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High, with cloudy conditions and possible showers expected to moderate radiative cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical minimums around 23–24°C, but 2026 seasonal outlooks and current model runs support elevated values due to persistent humidity and urban heat island effects. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 25°C and 26°C because small variations in cloud cover, wind, or precipitation timing can shift the exact minimum by 1°C, while lower or higher outcomes remain less probable given the limited forecast spread and lack of major synoptic disruptions. Updated model guidance and official observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$44Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate overnight lows near 24–26°C on August 21 amid above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High, with cloudy conditions and possible showers expected to moderate radiative cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical minimums around 23–24°C, but 2026 seasonal outlooks and current model runs support elevated values due to persistent humidity and urban heat island effects. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 25°C and 26°C because small variations in cloud cover, wind, or precipitation timing can shift the exact minimum by 1°C, while lower or higher outcomes remain less probable given the limited forecast spread and lack of major synoptic disruptions. Updated model guidance and official observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$44Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate overnight lows near 24–26°C on August 21 amid above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High, with cloudy conditions and possible showers expected to moderate radiative cooling. Historical August climatology shows typical minimums around 23–24°C, but 2026 seasonal outlooks and current model runs support elevated values due to persistent humidity and urban heat island effects. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 25°C and 26°C because small variations in cloud cover, wind, or precipitation timing can shift the exact minimum by 1°C, while lower or higher outcomes remain less probable given the limited forecast spread and lack of major synoptic disruptions. Updated model guidance and official observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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