**Recent forecasts from Météo-France and other models point to a cooling trend for late August, with the highest temperature in Paris on August 22 expected to peak near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 23°C holds a 50.5% implied probability and 24°C sits at 34%. Climatologically, Paris highs decline through the month from midsummer peaks near 25–26°C toward an August average of roughly 23–24°C; current conditions reflect a transition to fresher Atlantic-influenced air that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest model spread, with most runs keeping maxima below 25°C and only limited upside risk if clearing allows stronger insolation. Recent data releases, including updated short-range model runs within the last 48 hours, have reinforced the 23–24°C band rather than warmer scenarios, tightening trader consensus around these outcomes ahead of final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 22?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 22?
23°C 50%
24°C 33%
22°C 14%
25°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
6%
22°C
14%
23°C
50%
24°C
33%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 50%
24°C 33%
22°C 14%
25°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
19°C or below
$45 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$45 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$54 Обс.
6%
22°C
$66 Обс.
14%
23°C
$227 Обс.
50%
24°C
$88 Обс.
33%
25°C
$120 Обс.
7%
26°C
$79 Обс.
5%
27°C
$85 Обс.
1%
28°C
$95 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$135 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from Météo-France and other models point to a cooling trend for late August, with the highest temperature in Paris on August 22 expected to peak near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers.**
This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 23°C holds a 50.5% implied probability and 24°C sits at 34%. Climatologically, Paris highs decline through the month from midsummer peaks near 25–26°C toward an August average of roughly 23–24°C; current conditions reflect a transition to fresher Atlantic-influenced air that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest model spread, with most runs keeping maxima below 25°C and only limited upside risk if clearing allows stronger insolation. Recent data releases, including updated short-range model runs within the last 48 hours, have reinforced the 23–24°C band rather than warmer scenarios, tightening trader consensus around these outcomes ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,040Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from Météo-France and other models point to a cooling trend for late August, with the highest temperature in Paris on August 22 expected to peak near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers.**
This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 23°C holds a 50.5% implied probability and 24°C sits at 34%. Climatologically, Paris highs decline through the month from midsummer peaks near 25–26°C toward an August average of roughly 23–24°C; current conditions reflect a transition to fresher Atlantic-influenced air that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest model spread, with most runs keeping maxima below 25°C and only limited upside risk if clearing allows stronger insolation. Recent data releases, including updated short-range model runs within the last 48 hours, have reinforced the 23–24°C band rather than warmer scenarios, tightening trader consensus around these outcomes ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,040Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from Météo-France and other models point to a cooling trend for late August, with the highest temperature in Paris on August 22 expected to peak near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies and a chance of showers.** This aligns closely with the market’s leading outcomes, where 23°C holds a 50.5% implied probability and 24°C sits at 34%. Climatologically, Paris highs decline through the month from midsummer peaks near 25–26°C toward an August average of roughly 23–24°C; current conditions reflect a transition to fresher Atlantic-influenced air that limits daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest model spread, with most runs keeping maxima below 25°C and only limited upside risk if clearing allows stronger insolation. Recent data releases, including updated short-range model runs within the last 48 hours, have reinforced the 23–24°C band rather than warmer scenarios, tightening trader consensus around these outcomes ahead of final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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