Recent forecast guidance from European models shows Paris entering a cooler pattern after midweek warmth, with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light showers expected to drive minimum temperatures toward 11–13°C on August 22. This places 12°C as the clear market leader at 47.5% implied probability, supported by consensus lows near 12–14°C from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks, while historical August averages of 14–15°C underscore the downward shift. Traders are weighting the freshest model runs showing limited cloud cover overnight, with 11°C and 13°C as viable alternatives if precipitation timing or wind shifts alter cooling rates; final NWS-equivalent updates before dawn will likely refine these odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 22?
12°C 48%
13°C 22%
11°C 20%
14°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
20%
12°C
48%
13°C
22%
14°C
10%
15°C
9%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 48%
13°C 22%
11°C 20%
14°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
10°C
$91 Обс.
3%
11°C
$157 Обс.
20%
12°C
$2,235 Обс.
48%
13°C
$500 Обс.
22%
14°C
$210 Обс.
10%
15°C
$490 Обс.
9%
16°C
$45 Обс.
1%
17°C
$50 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$113 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$57 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models shows Paris entering a cooler pattern after midweek warmth, with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light showers expected to drive minimum temperatures toward 11–13°C on August 22. This places 12°C as the clear market leader at 47.5% implied probability, supported by consensus lows near 12–14°C from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks, while historical August averages of 14–15°C underscore the downward shift. Traders are weighting the freshest model runs showing limited cloud cover overnight, with 11°C and 13°C as viable alternatives if precipitation timing or wind shifts alter cooling rates; final NWS-equivalent updates before dawn will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,949Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models shows Paris entering a cooler pattern after midweek warmth, with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light showers expected to drive minimum temperatures toward 11–13°C on August 22. This places 12°C as the clear market leader at 47.5% implied probability, supported by consensus lows near 12–14°C from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks, while historical August averages of 14–15°C underscore the downward shift. Traders are weighting the freshest model runs showing limited cloud cover overnight, with 11°C and 13°C as viable alternatives if precipitation timing or wind shifts alter cooling rates; final NWS-equivalent updates before dawn will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,949Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from European models shows Paris entering a cooler pattern after midweek warmth, with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light showers expected to drive minimum temperatures toward 11–13°C on August 22. This places 12°C as the clear market leader at 47.5% implied probability, supported by consensus lows near 12–14°C from sources like AccuWeather and regional outlooks, while historical August averages of 14–15°C underscore the downward shift. Traders are weighting the freshest model runs showing limited cloud cover overnight, with 11°C and 13°C as viable alternatives if precipitation timing or wind shifts alter cooling rates; final NWS-equivalent updates before dawn will likely refine these odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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