**Trader consensus centers on 28–30°C as the most likely range for Seoul/Incheon’s daily maximum on August 22, with 29°C holding the largest share at 35.5%.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance projects a 31°C high under partly cloudy skies with 60% morning rain probability tapering to 30% in the afternoon, yet ensemble model trends and current moisture profiles suggest reduced solar insolation will cap realized highs 1–3°C below clear-sky potential. Late-August climatology for the region averages 30–31°C, but persistent humidity and cloud cover following the early-August heatwave (which saw peaks near 39°C) continue to moderate temperatures. Recent KMA updates and analogous recent days show similar setups producing 28–30°C outcomes, aligning market-implied probabilities with these verifiable forecast adjustments rather than the raw deterministic maximum. Updated model runs and KMA briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 22?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 22?
29°C 32%
28°C 24%
30°C 21%
27°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
15%
28°C
24%
29°C
32%
30°C
21%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
28°C 24%
30°C 21%
27°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
24°C or below
$243 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$123 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$752 Обс.
3%
27°C
$1,060 Обс.
15%
28°C
$2,059 Обс.
24%
29°C
$403 Обс.
32%
30°C
$699 Обс.
21%
31°C
$392 Обс.
6%
32°C
$651 Обс.
1%
33°C
$107 Обс.
1%
34°C or higher
$224 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 28–30°C as the most likely range for Seoul/Incheon’s daily maximum on August 22, with 29°C holding the largest share at 35.5%.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance projects a 31°C high under partly cloudy skies with 60% morning rain probability tapering to 30% in the afternoon, yet ensemble model trends and current moisture profiles suggest reduced solar insolation will cap realized highs 1–3°C below clear-sky potential. Late-August climatology for the region averages 30–31°C, but persistent humidity and cloud cover following the early-August heatwave (which saw peaks near 39°C) continue to moderate temperatures. Recent KMA updates and analogous recent days show similar setups producing 28–30°C outcomes, aligning market-implied probabilities with these verifiable forecast adjustments rather than the raw deterministic maximum. Updated model runs and KMA briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,714Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 28–30°C as the most likely range for Seoul/Incheon’s daily maximum on August 22, with 29°C holding the largest share at 35.5%.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance projects a 31°C high under partly cloudy skies with 60% morning rain probability tapering to 30% in the afternoon, yet ensemble model trends and current moisture profiles suggest reduced solar insolation will cap realized highs 1–3°C below clear-sky potential. Late-August climatology for the region averages 30–31°C, but persistent humidity and cloud cover following the early-August heatwave (which saw peaks near 39°C) continue to moderate temperatures. Recent KMA updates and analogous recent days show similar setups producing 28–30°C outcomes, aligning market-implied probabilities with these verifiable forecast adjustments rather than the raw deterministic maximum. Updated model runs and KMA briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,714Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 28–30°C as the most likely range for Seoul/Incheon’s daily maximum on August 22, with 29°C holding the largest share at 35.5%.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance projects a 31°C high under partly cloudy skies with 60% morning rain probability tapering to 30% in the afternoon, yet ensemble model trends and current moisture profiles suggest reduced solar insolation will cap realized highs 1–3°C below clear-sky potential. Late-August climatology for the region averages 30–31°C, but persistent humidity and cloud cover following the early-August heatwave (which saw peaks near 39°C) continue to moderate temperatures. Recent KMA updates and analogous recent days show similar setups producing 28–30°C outcomes, aligning market-implied probabilities with these verifiable forecast adjustments rather than the raw deterministic maximum. Updated model runs and KMA briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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