Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the China Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate sunny skies and light winds over Beijing through September 11, supporting a daytime high near 30–31 °C—well above the early-September climatological average of roughly 27 °C. Dry air masses and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours, with official guidance centering on 29 °C and ensemble runs showing limited spread toward 28–32 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns closely with this guidance, assigning the highest probability to 31 °C while assigning lower weight to cooler or hotter outliers pending any late-model shifts before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
31°C 56%
30°C 22%
32°C 17%
29°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C
22%
31°C
56%
32°C
17%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 56%
30°C 22%
32°C 17%
29°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
$17 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$0 Обс.
1%
27°C
$190 Обс.
2%
28°C
$5 Обс.
5%
29°C
$42 Обс.
6%
30°C
$0 Обс.
22%
31°C
$347 Обс.
56%
32°C
$13 Обс.
17%
33°C
$0 Обс.
4%
34°C
$0 Обс.
3%
35°C or higher
$12 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the China Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate sunny skies and light winds over Beijing through September 11, supporting a daytime high near 30–31 °C—well above the early-September climatological average of roughly 27 °C. Dry air masses and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours, with official guidance centering on 29 °C and ensemble runs showing limited spread toward 28–32 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns closely with this guidance, assigning the highest probability to 31 °C while assigning lower weight to cooler or hotter outliers pending any late-model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$626Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the China Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate sunny skies and light winds over Beijing through September 11, supporting a daytime high near 30–31 °C—well above the early-September climatological average of roughly 27 °C. Dry air masses and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours, with official guidance centering on 29 °C and ensemble runs showing limited spread toward 28–32 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns closely with this guidance, assigning the highest probability to 31 °C while assigning lower weight to cooler or hotter outliers pending any late-model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$626Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the China Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate sunny skies and light winds over Beijing through September 11, supporting a daytime high near 30–31 °C—well above the early-September climatological average of roughly 27 °C. Dry air masses and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours, with official guidance centering on 29 °C and ensemble runs showing limited spread toward 28–32 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns closely with this guidance, assigning the highest probability to 31 °C while assigning lower weight to cooler or hotter outliers pending any late-model shifts before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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