Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a likely overnight low near 12–16°C for Beijing on September 10 under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs around 27–29°C. Model consensus points to stable high pressure with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, conditions that typically produce minima close to or slightly below seasonal averages of 17°C. The near-even market split between 18°C-or-higher and 8°C-or-below outcomes reflects trader focus on small differences in forecast guidance, such as variations in wind speed or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the minimum by several degrees. Historical extremes on the date range from 7.7°C to over 20°C, underscoring sensitivity to these local factors ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
18°C or higher 84%
8°C or below 82%
14°C 38%
17°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
8°C or below
82%
9°C
17%
10°C
22%
11°C
23%
12°C
25%
13°C
21%
14°C
38%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
38%
18°C or higher
84%
18°C or higher 84%
8°C or below 82%
14°C 38%
17°C 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
8°C or below
$61 Обс.
82%
9°C
$10 Обс.
17%
10°C
$0 Обс.
22%
11°C
$0 Обс.
23%
12°C
$0 Обс.
25%
13°C
$0 Обс.
21%
14°C
$0 Обс.
38%
15°C
$0 Обс.
19%
16°C
$0 Обс.
19%
17°C
$0 Обс.
38%
18°C or higher
$43 Обс.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a likely overnight low near 12–16°C for Beijing on September 10 under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs around 27–29°C. Model consensus points to stable high pressure with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, conditions that typically produce minima close to or slightly below seasonal averages of 17°C. The near-even market split between 18°C-or-higher and 8°C-or-below outcomes reflects trader focus on small differences in forecast guidance, such as variations in wind speed or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the minimum by several degrees. Historical extremes on the date range from 7.7°C to over 20°C, underscoring sensitivity to these local factors ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$114Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a likely overnight low near 12–16°C for Beijing on September 10 under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs around 27–29°C. Model consensus points to stable high pressure with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, conditions that typically produce minima close to or slightly below seasonal averages of 17°C. The near-even market split between 18°C-or-higher and 8°C-or-below outcomes reflects trader focus on small differences in forecast guidance, such as variations in wind speed or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the minimum by several degrees. Historical extremes on the date range from 7.7°C to over 20°C, underscoring sensitivity to these local factors ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$114Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a likely overnight low near 12–16°C for Beijing on September 10 under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs around 27–29°C. Model consensus points to stable high pressure with low humidity and minimal cloud cover, conditions that typically produce minima close to or slightly below seasonal averages of 17°C. The near-even market split between 18°C-or-higher and 8°C-or-below outcomes reflects trader focus on small differences in forecast guidance, such as variations in wind speed or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the minimum by several degrees. Historical extremes on the date range from 7.7°C to over 20°C, underscoring sensitivity to these local factors ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання