Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31–33°C on September 8 under mainly fine conditions with isolated early showers, driven by thinning cloud bands over southern China and light east-northeasterly winds that permit strong daytime solar heating. Recent observations show surface temperatures near 30–32°C amid high humidity and weak pressure gradients, consistent with late-summer patterns where mean daily maxima hover around 30.8°C. Trader consensus clusters on 31–33°C because small differences in afternoon cloud cover, shower timing, or wind strength could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while an approaching northeast monsoon and distant low-pressure development introduce modest cooling risks. Updated model runs and HKO briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 8?
32°C 34%
33°C 31%
31°C 21%
30°C 13%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
13%
31°C
21%
32°C
34%
33°C
31%
34°C
5%
35°C
5%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
6%
32°C 34%
33°C 31%
31°C 21%
30°C 13%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
13%
31°C
21%
32°C
34%
33°C
31%
34°C
5%
35°C
5%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 31–33°C on September 8 under mainly fine conditions with isolated early showers, driven by thinning cloud bands over southern China and light east-northeasterly winds that permit strong daytime solar heating. Recent observations show surface temperatures near 30–32°C amid high humidity and weak pressure gradients, consistent with late-summer patterns where mean daily maxima hover around 30.8°C. Trader consensus clusters on 31–33°C because small differences in afternoon cloud cover, shower timing, or wind strength could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while an approaching northeast monsoon and distant low-pressure development introduce modest cooling risks. Updated model runs and HKO briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання