**Recent official forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department (IMD), Met Office, and WeatherBug point to a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Lucknow on September 6, 2026, under generally cloudy skies with a high chance of rain or thundershowers.** This monsoon-driven pattern—marked by elevated humidity, easterly winds, and widespread cloud cover—explains the market’s tight clustering around 30°C (29.5%) and 31°C (46.5%), with 32°C a distant third at 15.5%. Active monsoon conditions have kept recent daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms (around 30–32°C), limiting intense solar heating and convective buildup that could push readings higher. Model consensus and historical September baselines reinforce this range, as persistent moisture and precipitation suppress peaks while making brief warmer spells possible if breaks in cloud cover occur. Lower-probability outcomes (29°C or below, or 33°C+) reflect the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts or atypical clearing before the day’s resolution. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model runs and official guidance showing steady, rain-influenced conditions through the period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
31°C 47%
30°C 30%
32°C 16%
29°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
30%
31°C
47%
32°C
16%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 47%
30°C 30%
32°C 16%
29°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
$395 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$135 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$272 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$171 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$365 Обс.
2%
29°C
$478 Обс.
7%
30°C
$105 Обс.
30%
31°C
$293 Обс.
47%
32°C
$87 Обс.
16%
33°C
$30 Обс.
4%
34°C or higher
$93 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department (IMD), Met Office, and WeatherBug point to a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Lucknow on September 6, 2026, under generally cloudy skies with a high chance of rain or thundershowers.** This monsoon-driven pattern—marked by elevated humidity, easterly winds, and widespread cloud cover—explains the market’s tight clustering around 30°C (29.5%) and 31°C (46.5%), with 32°C a distant third at 15.5%.
Active monsoon conditions have kept recent daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms (around 30–32°C), limiting intense solar heating and convective buildup that could push readings higher. Model consensus and historical September baselines reinforce this range, as persistent moisture and precipitation suppress peaks while making brief warmer spells possible if breaks in cloud cover occur. Lower-probability outcomes (29°C or below, or 33°C+) reflect the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts or atypical clearing before the day’s resolution. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model runs and official guidance showing steady, rain-influenced conditions through the period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,423Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department (IMD), Met Office, and WeatherBug point to a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Lucknow on September 6, 2026, under generally cloudy skies with a high chance of rain or thundershowers.** This monsoon-driven pattern—marked by elevated humidity, easterly winds, and widespread cloud cover—explains the market’s tight clustering around 30°C (29.5%) and 31°C (46.5%), with 32°C a distant third at 15.5%.
Active monsoon conditions have kept recent daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms (around 30–32°C), limiting intense solar heating and convective buildup that could push readings higher. Model consensus and historical September baselines reinforce this range, as persistent moisture and precipitation suppress peaks while making brief warmer spells possible if breaks in cloud cover occur. Lower-probability outcomes (29°C or below, or 33°C+) reflect the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts or atypical clearing before the day’s resolution. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model runs and official guidance showing steady, rain-influenced conditions through the period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,423Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department (IMD), Met Office, and WeatherBug point to a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Lucknow on September 6, 2026, under generally cloudy skies with a high chance of rain or thundershowers.** This monsoon-driven pattern—marked by elevated humidity, easterly winds, and widespread cloud cover—explains the market’s tight clustering around 30°C (29.5%) and 31°C (46.5%), with 32°C a distant third at 15.5%. Active monsoon conditions have kept recent daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal norms (around 30–32°C), limiting intense solar heating and convective buildup that could push readings higher. Model consensus and historical September baselines reinforce this range, as persistent moisture and precipitation suppress peaks while making brief warmer spells possible if breaks in cloud cover occur. Lower-probability outcomes (29°C or below, or 33°C+) reflect the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts or atypical clearing before the day’s resolution. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model runs and official guidance showing steady, rain-influenced conditions through the period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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