Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Shanghai’s maximum temperature on September 5 will likely reach 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies with a 30–60 % chance of light rain or drizzle and northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h. Persistent humidity near 70–80 % and variable cloud cover are expected to limit afternoon heating, keeping readings close to the seasonal September average of 27–28 °C while preventing stronger warming. This narrow band of likely outcomes, combined with typical short-term model spread in precipitation timing, underpins the evenly matched market-implied odds across 27–31 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for any shift in the peak value.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 5?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 5?
29°C 37%
31°C 31%
30°C 25%
28°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
12%
29°C
37%
30°C
25%
31°C
31%
32°C
6%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
2%
29°C 37%
31°C 31%
30°C 25%
28°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
26°C
$0 Обс.
1%
27°C
$0 Обс.
4%
28°C
$0 Обс.
12%
29°C
$0 Обс.
37%
30°C
$1 Обс.
25%
31°C
$0 Обс.
31%
32°C
$0 Обс.
6%
33°C
$0 Обс.
5%
34°C
$0 Обс.
2%
35°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Shanghai’s maximum temperature on September 5 will likely reach 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies with a 30–60 % chance of light rain or drizzle and northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h. Persistent humidity near 70–80 % and variable cloud cover are expected to limit afternoon heating, keeping readings close to the seasonal September average of 27–28 °C while preventing stronger warming. This narrow band of likely outcomes, combined with typical short-term model spread in precipitation timing, underpins the evenly matched market-implied odds across 27–31 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for any shift in the peak value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Shanghai’s maximum temperature on September 5 will likely reach 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies with a 30–60 % chance of light rain or drizzle and northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h. Persistent humidity near 70–80 % and variable cloud cover are expected to limit afternoon heating, keeping readings close to the seasonal September average of 27–28 °C while preventing stronger warming. This narrow band of likely outcomes, combined with typical short-term model spread in precipitation timing, underpins the evenly matched market-implied odds across 27–31 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for any shift in the peak value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Shanghai’s maximum temperature on September 5 will likely reach 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies with a 30–60 % chance of light rain or drizzle and northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h. Persistent humidity near 70–80 % and variable cloud cover are expected to limit afternoon heating, keeping readings close to the seasonal September average of 27–28 °C while preventing stronger warming. This narrow band of likely outcomes, combined with typical short-term model spread in precipitation timing, underpins the evenly matched market-implied odds across 27–31 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for any shift in the peak value.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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