Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a Friday high near 92–94°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with a 40–50% afternoon thunderstorm chance, yet market odds cluster tightly around 86–89°F because traders emphasize convective cooling from widespread clouds and seabreeze-driven instability. High dew points near 75°F sustain conditional instability that favors scattered storms capable of limiting peak surface heating by 3–6°F, while light southeast winds offer modest marine moderation. This setup aligns with the climatological 91°F average but reflects uncertainty in storm timing and coverage that could shift the daily maximum across the 86–91°F bins. Updated model runs and NHC briefings ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on September 4?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 4?
86-87°F 49%
88-89°F 48%
84-85°F 20%
90-91°F 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
49%
88-89°F
48%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
7%
100°F or higher
7%
86-87°F 49%
88-89°F 48%
84-85°F 20%
90-91°F 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
81°F or below
$0 Обс.
1%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
1%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
20%
86-87°F
$0 Обс.
49%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
48%
90-91°F
$17 Обс.
13%
92-93°F
$26 Обс.
10%
94-95°F
$0 Обс.
7%
96-97°F
$0 Обс.
7%
98-99°F
$0 Обс.
7%
100°F or higher
$0 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a Friday high near 92–94°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with a 40–50% afternoon thunderstorm chance, yet market odds cluster tightly around 86–89°F because traders emphasize convective cooling from widespread clouds and seabreeze-driven instability. High dew points near 75°F sustain conditional instability that favors scattered storms capable of limiting peak surface heating by 3–6°F, while light southeast winds offer modest marine moderation. This setup aligns with the climatological 91°F average but reflects uncertainty in storm timing and coverage that could shift the daily maximum across the 86–91°F bins. Updated model runs and NHC briefings ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$43Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a Friday high near 92–94°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with a 40–50% afternoon thunderstorm chance, yet market odds cluster tightly around 86–89°F because traders emphasize convective cooling from widespread clouds and seabreeze-driven instability. High dew points near 75°F sustain conditional instability that favors scattered storms capable of limiting peak surface heating by 3–6°F, while light southeast winds offer modest marine moderation. This setup aligns with the climatological 91°F average but reflects uncertainty in storm timing and coverage that could shift the daily maximum across the 86–91°F bins. Updated model runs and NHC briefings ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$43Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 2:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a Friday high near 92–94°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with a 40–50% afternoon thunderstorm chance, yet market odds cluster tightly around 86–89°F because traders emphasize convective cooling from widespread clouds and seabreeze-driven instability. High dew points near 75°F sustain conditional instability that favors scattered storms capable of limiting peak surface heating by 3–6°F, while light southeast winds offer modest marine moderation. This setup aligns with the climatological 91°F average but reflects uncertainty in storm timing and coverage that could shift the daily maximum across the 86–91°F bins. Updated model runs and NHC briefings ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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