**Recent northwest airflow and spring warming trends position 16°C as the consensus outcome for Wellington's September 2 maximum.** Official MetService guidance and supporting models indicate fine conditions with strong northwesterlies, favoring daytime peaks near 15–16°C as warmer air advects over the region ahead of a possible afternoon shower increase. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where average highs rise from ~13°C in late August toward 14–15°C by early September, though localized sheltering or brief clear spells can push readings 1°C higher at the official observing site. Ensemble spread remains narrow given the short lead time, with lower probabilities for 15°C or 17°C reflecting minor model-to-model differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength. Updated runs through September 1 have sustained the 16°C signal, reinforcing trader positioning ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
16°C 61%
17°C 18%
15°C 18%
18°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
18%
16°C
61%
17°C
18%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
17°C 18%
15°C 18%
18°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
$315 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$375 Обс.
1%
12°C
$407 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$458 Обс.
1%
14°C
$466 Обс.
2%
15°C
$2,169 Обс.
18%
16°C
$883 Обс.
61%
17°C
$1,164 Обс.
18%
18°C
$542 Обс.
3%
19°C
$412 Обс.
<1%
20°C or higher
$222 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent northwest airflow and spring warming trends position 16°C as the consensus outcome for Wellington's September 2 maximum.** Official MetService guidance and supporting models indicate fine conditions with strong northwesterlies, favoring daytime peaks near 15–16°C as warmer air advects over the region ahead of a possible afternoon shower increase. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where average highs rise from ~13°C in late August toward 14–15°C by early September, though localized sheltering or brief clear spells can push readings 1°C higher at the official observing site. Ensemble spread remains narrow given the short lead time, with lower probabilities for 15°C or 17°C reflecting minor model-to-model differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength. Updated runs through September 1 have sustained the 16°C signal, reinforcing trader positioning ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,412Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent northwest airflow and spring warming trends position 16°C as the consensus outcome for Wellington's September 2 maximum.** Official MetService guidance and supporting models indicate fine conditions with strong northwesterlies, favoring daytime peaks near 15–16°C as warmer air advects over the region ahead of a possible afternoon shower increase. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where average highs rise from ~13°C in late August toward 14–15°C by early September, though localized sheltering or brief clear spells can push readings 1°C higher at the official observing site. Ensemble spread remains narrow given the short lead time, with lower probabilities for 15°C or 17°C reflecting minor model-to-model differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength. Updated runs through September 1 have sustained the 16°C signal, reinforcing trader positioning ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,412Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Recent northwest airflow and spring warming trends position 16°C as the consensus outcome for Wellington's September 2 maximum.** Official MetService guidance and supporting models indicate fine conditions with strong northwesterlies, favoring daytime peaks near 15–16°C as warmer air advects over the region ahead of a possible afternoon shower increase. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where average highs rise from ~13°C in late August toward 14–15°C by early September, though localized sheltering or brief clear spells can push readings 1°C higher at the official observing site. Ensemble spread remains narrow given the short lead time, with lower probabilities for 15°C or 17°C reflecting minor model-to-model differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind strength. Updated runs through September 1 have sustained the 16°C signal, reinforcing trader positioning ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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