Current forecast models from sources like MetService and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 12–13 °C for Wellington on September 1, driven by a shift to cooler southwesterly flow behind a weakening front, following warmer northerly conditions in late August. Spring climatology places early-September highs around 13–14 °C on average, but recent model runs show limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and moderate northwest-to-southwest winds. Trader emphasis on 14 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and any brief clearing, while lower outcomes gain support from consistent cooling signals; updated NWP guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on September 1?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 1?
14°C 52%
13°C 33%
15°C 11%
12°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
6%
13°C
33%
14°C
52%
15°C
11%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 52%
13°C 33%
15°C 11%
12°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
8°C or below
$266 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$276 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$30 Обс.
1%
11°C
$0 Обс.
4%
12°C
$11 Обс.
6%
13°C
$103 Обс.
33%
14°C
$83 Обс.
52%
15°C
$18 Обс.
11%
16°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$71 Обс.
<1%
18°C or higher
$266 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like MetService and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 12–13 °C for Wellington on September 1, driven by a shift to cooler southwesterly flow behind a weakening front, following warmer northerly conditions in late August. Spring climatology places early-September highs around 13–14 °C on average, but recent model runs show limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and moderate northwest-to-southwest winds. Trader emphasis on 14 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and any brief clearing, while lower outcomes gain support from consistent cooling signals; updated NWP guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,124Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like MetService and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 12–13 °C for Wellington on September 1, driven by a shift to cooler southwesterly flow behind a weakening front, following warmer northerly conditions in late August. Spring climatology places early-September highs around 13–14 °C on average, but recent model runs show limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and moderate northwest-to-southwest winds. Trader emphasis on 14 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and any brief clearing, while lower outcomes gain support from consistent cooling signals; updated NWP guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,124Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like MetService and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 12–13 °C for Wellington on September 1, driven by a shift to cooler southwesterly flow behind a weakening front, following warmer northerly conditions in late August. Spring climatology places early-September highs around 13–14 °C on average, but recent model runs show limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and moderate northwest-to-southwest winds. Trader emphasis on 14 °C reflects residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and any brief clearing, while lower outcomes gain support from consistent cooling signals; updated NWP guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання