Recent short-range forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate a high near 15°C for Wellington on August 31 under mainly fine conditions with strong northwesterlies and a chance of morning showers, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering around 15–16°C. Late-winter baseline averages hover near 14–16°C, and the developing El Niño pattern supports near-average temperatures for the Wellington region without strong anomalies. Model consensus has remained stable over the past 48 hours, with limited spread in maximum temperatures driven by wind strength and variable cloud cover; traders appear to weight the upper end of expected ranges given historical late-August variability and the narrow resolution thresholds. Updated official guidance on August 30–31 will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 31?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 31?
16°C 56%
17°C 22%
15°C 20%
14°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
20%
16°C
56%
17°C
22%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 56%
17°C 22%
15°C 20%
14°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
$186 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$140 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$220 Обс.
2%
14°C
$173 Обс.
3%
15°C
$403 Обс.
20%
16°C
$1,336 Обс.
56%
17°C
$286 Обс.
22%
18°C
$37 Обс.
2%
19°C
$168 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$196 Обс.
<1%
21°C or higher
$186 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate a high near 15°C for Wellington on August 31 under mainly fine conditions with strong northwesterlies and a chance of morning showers, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering around 15–16°C. Late-winter baseline averages hover near 14–16°C, and the developing El Niño pattern supports near-average temperatures for the Wellington region without strong anomalies. Model consensus has remained stable over the past 48 hours, with limited spread in maximum temperatures driven by wind strength and variable cloud cover; traders appear to weight the upper end of expected ranges given historical late-August variability and the narrow resolution thresholds. Updated official guidance on August 30–31 will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,332Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate a high near 15°C for Wellington on August 31 under mainly fine conditions with strong northwesterlies and a chance of morning showers, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering around 15–16°C. Late-winter baseline averages hover near 14–16°C, and the developing El Niño pattern supports near-average temperatures for the Wellington region without strong anomalies. Model consensus has remained stable over the past 48 hours, with limited spread in maximum temperatures driven by wind strength and variable cloud cover; traders appear to weight the upper end of expected ranges given historical late-August variability and the narrow resolution thresholds. Updated official guidance on August 30–31 will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,332Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate a high near 15°C for Wellington on August 31 under mainly fine conditions with strong northwesterlies and a chance of morning showers, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering around 15–16°C. Late-winter baseline averages hover near 14–16°C, and the developing El Niño pattern supports near-average temperatures for the Wellington region without strong anomalies. Model consensus has remained stable over the past 48 hours, with limited spread in maximum temperatures driven by wind strength and variable cloud cover; traders appear to weight the upper end of expected ranges given historical late-August variability and the narrow resolution thresholds. Updated official guidance on August 30–31 will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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