**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) and real-time observations anchor trader consensus on a 32°C daily maximum for August 29.** A broad low-pressure trough over the Guangdong coast and northern South China Sea is delivering unsettled conditions with scattered showers, thunderstorms, and limited sunshine, capping temperatures despite a very hot weather warning. HKO models and regional readings show afternoon peaks near 32–33°C at the official station, with some outlying areas briefly higher but not altering the primary metric. This aligns with typical late-August climatology under similar synoptic patterns. The overwhelming 99.5% implied probability reflects convergence between forecast guidance, ongoing precipitation trends, and the narrow remaining window for significant warming. A sustained break in cloud cover or unexpectedly suppressed rainfall could allow brief spikes toward 33–34°C, though current moisture and wind patterns make this unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
32°C 99.6%
33°C <1%
35°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
$110,127 Обс.
$110,127 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.6%
33°C <1%
35°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
$110,127 Обс.
$110,127 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
$2,564 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$18,379 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$12,133 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$23,981 Обс.
100%
33°C
$20,398 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$16,713 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$6,408 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$1,994 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$2,983 Обс.
<1%
38°C
$2,274 Обс.
<1%
39°C or higher
$2,301 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) and real-time observations anchor trader consensus on a 32°C daily maximum for August 29.** A broad low-pressure trough over the Guangdong coast and northern South China Sea is delivering unsettled conditions with scattered showers, thunderstorms, and limited sunshine, capping temperatures despite a very hot weather warning. HKO models and regional readings show afternoon peaks near 32–33°C at the official station, with some outlying areas briefly higher but not altering the primary metric. This aligns with typical late-August climatology under similar synoptic patterns. The overwhelming 99.5% implied probability reflects convergence between forecast guidance, ongoing precipitation trends, and the narrow remaining window for significant warming. A sustained break in cloud cover or unexpectedly suppressed rainfall could allow brief spikes toward 33–34°C, though current moisture and wind patterns make this unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$110,127Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) and real-time observations anchor trader consensus on a 32°C daily maximum for August 29.** A broad low-pressure trough over the Guangdong coast and northern South China Sea is delivering unsettled conditions with scattered showers, thunderstorms, and limited sunshine, capping temperatures despite a very hot weather warning. HKO models and regional readings show afternoon peaks near 32–33°C at the official station, with some outlying areas briefly higher but not altering the primary metric. This aligns with typical late-August climatology under similar synoptic patterns. The overwhelming 99.5% implied probability reflects convergence between forecast guidance, ongoing precipitation trends, and the narrow remaining window for significant warming. A sustained break in cloud cover or unexpectedly suppressed rainfall could allow brief spikes toward 33–34°C, though current moisture and wind patterns make this unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$110,127Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) and real-time observations anchor trader consensus on a 32°C daily maximum for August 29.** A broad low-pressure trough over the Guangdong coast and northern South China Sea is delivering unsettled conditions with scattered showers, thunderstorms, and limited sunshine, capping temperatures despite a very hot weather warning. HKO models and regional readings show afternoon peaks near 32–33°C at the official station, with some outlying areas briefly higher but not altering the primary metric. This aligns with typical late-August climatology under similar synoptic patterns. The overwhelming 99.5% implied probability reflects convergence between forecast guidance, ongoing precipitation trends, and the narrow remaining window for significant warming. A sustained break in cloud cover or unexpectedly suppressed rainfall could allow brief spikes toward 33–34°C, though current moisture and wind patterns make this unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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