Recent weather model consensus and official Chinese Meteorological Administration updates point to moderating temperatures in Wuhan on August 29 amid a shift from prolonged extreme heat. Following peak readings near 37°C in prior days, increased cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms—linked to typhoon peripheral flow—are expected to cap the daily maximum near 32–34°C. Key variables include rainfall timing, which could suppress afternoon heating, and boundary-layer moisture levels influencing the exact peak. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 32°C, providing context for the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities across 31–33°C outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will refine the final resolution criteria.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 29?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 29?
32°C 28%
33°C 28%
31°C 21%
34°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
21%
32°C
28%
33°C
28%
34°C
9%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 28%
33°C 28%
31°C 21%
34°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
27°C or below
$416 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$584 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$169 Обс.
3%
30°C
$322 Обс.
8%
31°C
$419 Обс.
21%
32°C
$369 Обс.
28%
33°C
$752 Обс.
28%
34°C
$526 Обс.
9%
35°C
$314 Обс.
4%
36°C
$174 Обс.
1%
37°C or higher
$570 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus and official Chinese Meteorological Administration updates point to moderating temperatures in Wuhan on August 29 amid a shift from prolonged extreme heat. Following peak readings near 37°C in prior days, increased cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms—linked to typhoon peripheral flow—are expected to cap the daily maximum near 32–34°C. Key variables include rainfall timing, which could suppress afternoon heating, and boundary-layer moisture levels influencing the exact peak. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 32°C, providing context for the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities across 31–33°C outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will refine the final resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,615Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus and official Chinese Meteorological Administration updates point to moderating temperatures in Wuhan on August 29 amid a shift from prolonged extreme heat. Following peak readings near 37°C in prior days, increased cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms—linked to typhoon peripheral flow—are expected to cap the daily maximum near 32–34°C. Key variables include rainfall timing, which could suppress afternoon heating, and boundary-layer moisture levels influencing the exact peak. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 32°C, providing context for the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities across 31–33°C outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will refine the final resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,615Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus and official Chinese Meteorological Administration updates point to moderating temperatures in Wuhan on August 29 amid a shift from prolonged extreme heat. Following peak readings near 37°C in prior days, increased cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms—linked to typhoon peripheral flow—are expected to cap the daily maximum near 32–34°C. Key variables include rainfall timing, which could suppress afternoon heating, and boundary-layer moisture levels influencing the exact peak. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 32°C, providing context for the narrow spread in market-implied probabilities across 31–33°C outcomes. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will refine the final resolution criteria.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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