Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 28, 2026, consistently project a daily maximum of 32°C under mostly cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers and thunderstorms, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact threshold. Recent observational data from stations like Tokyo International Airport show afternoon readings near 32–33°C amid high humidity (around 50–70%) and light winds, consistent with seasonal August normals of about 30–31°C but tempered by cloud cover and precipitation chances of 20–60%. Model consensus from multiple sources supports this outcome without significant upward revisions. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing that boosts insolation or a revised JMA update exceeding 32°C before resolution, though current steering patterns and moisture limit that potential.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 28?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 28?
32°C 99.6%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$102,427 Обс.
$102,427 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.6%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$102,427 Обс.
$102,427 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
$3,520 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$5,557 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$2,468 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$3,272 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$12,120 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$8,648 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$17,626 Обс.
100%
33°C
$18,496 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$15,716 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$7,579 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$7,426 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 28, 2026, consistently project a daily maximum of 32°C under mostly cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers and thunderstorms, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact threshold. Recent observational data from stations like Tokyo International Airport show afternoon readings near 32–33°C amid high humidity (around 50–70%) and light winds, consistent with seasonal August normals of about 30–31°C but tempered by cloud cover and precipitation chances of 20–60%. Model consensus from multiple sources supports this outcome without significant upward revisions. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing that boosts insolation or a revised JMA update exceeding 32°C before resolution, though current steering patterns and moisture limit that potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$102,427Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 28, 2026, consistently project a daily maximum of 32°C under mostly cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers and thunderstorms, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact threshold. Recent observational data from stations like Tokyo International Airport show afternoon readings near 32–33°C amid high humidity (around 50–70%) and light winds, consistent with seasonal August normals of about 30–31°C but tempered by cloud cover and precipitation chances of 20–60%. Model consensus from multiple sources supports this outcome without significant upward revisions. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing that boosts insolation or a revised JMA update exceeding 32°C before resolution, though current steering patterns and moisture limit that potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$102,427Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 28, 2026, consistently project a daily maximum of 32°C under mostly cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers and thunderstorms, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact threshold. Recent observational data from stations like Tokyo International Airport show afternoon readings near 32–33°C amid high humidity (around 50–70%) and light winds, consistent with seasonal August normals of about 30–31°C but tempered by cloud cover and precipitation chances of 20–60%. Model consensus from multiple sources supports this outcome without significant upward revisions. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing that boosts insolation or a revised JMA update exceeding 32°C before resolution, though current steering patterns and moisture limit that potential.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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