Short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles place the highest probability on a Shenzhen maximum temperature of 32–34 °C on August 28 because subtropical high pressure is expected to maintain mostly clear skies and strong daytime heating over the Pearl River Delta. Model spread arises mainly from differences in the timing and coverage of afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated convective cells, which can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings if cloud development occurs earlier than forecast. Climatologically, late-August maxima in Shenzhen average near 32 °C with a standard deviation of roughly 1.5 °C, so the current market distribution aligns with typical variability rather than an extreme event. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range as boundary-layer and moisture fields are refined.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 28?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 28?
32°C 27%
33°C 27%
34°C 24%
31°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
9%
31°C
17%
32°C
27%
33°C
27%
34°C
24%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 27%
33°C 27%
34°C 24%
31°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
$180 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$208 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$115 Обс.
1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
9%
30°C
$0 Обс.
9%
31°C
$10 Обс.
17%
32°C
$0 Обс.
27%
33°C
$0 Обс.
27%
34°C
$0 Обс.
24%
35°C
$125 Обс.
3%
36°C or higher
$27 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles place the highest probability on a Shenzhen maximum temperature of 32–34 °C on August 28 because subtropical high pressure is expected to maintain mostly clear skies and strong daytime heating over the Pearl River Delta. Model spread arises mainly from differences in the timing and coverage of afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated convective cells, which can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings if cloud development occurs earlier than forecast. Climatologically, late-August maxima in Shenzhen average near 32 °C with a standard deviation of roughly 1.5 °C, so the current market distribution aligns with typical variability rather than an extreme event. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range as boundary-layer and moisture fields are refined.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$666Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles place the highest probability on a Shenzhen maximum temperature of 32–34 °C on August 28 because subtropical high pressure is expected to maintain mostly clear skies and strong daytime heating over the Pearl River Delta. Model spread arises mainly from differences in the timing and coverage of afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated convective cells, which can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings if cloud development occurs earlier than forecast. Climatologically, late-August maxima in Shenzhen average near 32 °C with a standard deviation of roughly 1.5 °C, so the current market distribution aligns with typical variability rather than an extreme event. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range as boundary-layer and moisture fields are refined.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$666Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles place the highest probability on a Shenzhen maximum temperature of 32–34 °C on August 28 because subtropical high pressure is expected to maintain mostly clear skies and strong daytime heating over the Pearl River Delta. Model spread arises mainly from differences in the timing and coverage of afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated convective cells, which can shave 1–2 °C off peak readings if cloud development occurs earlier than forecast. Climatologically, late-August maxima in Shenzhen average near 32 °C with a standard deviation of roughly 1.5 °C, so the current market distribution aligns with typical variability rather than an extreme event. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range as boundary-layer and moisture fields are refined.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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