Persistent monsoon moisture and scattered thunderstorms over Shenzhen are creating forecast uncertainty for the overnight minimum on August 26, with official guidance clustering near 26–28°C amid 80–90% rain chances. High humidity and cloud cover limit radiative cooling after sunset, while any breaks in precipitation or lighter winds could allow modest drops toward 25°C or below; conversely, sustained overcast and rain keep readings elevated near 28–30°C. Model runs show modest divergence on timing and intensity of showers, directly affecting the diurnal range in this subtropical coastal setting where August climatology favors minima around 25°C. Traders price the extremes highest because small shifts in overnight conditions or official station readings could tip resolution either way before data finalize.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
22°C or below 70%
23°C 39%
31°C 39%
32°C or higher 36.0%
22°C or below
70%
23°C
39%
24°C
7%
25°C
25%
26°C
30%
27°C
23%
28°C
26%
29°C
24%
30°C
17%
31°C
39%
32°C or higher
36%
22°C or below 70%
23°C 39%
31°C 39%
32°C or higher 36.0%
22°C or below
70%
23°C
39%
24°C
7%
25°C
25%
26°C
30%
27°C
23%
28°C
26%
29°C
24%
30°C
17%
31°C
39%
32°C or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon moisture and scattered thunderstorms over Shenzhen are creating forecast uncertainty for the overnight minimum on August 26, with official guidance clustering near 26–28°C amid 80–90% rain chances. High humidity and cloud cover limit radiative cooling after sunset, while any breaks in precipitation or lighter winds could allow modest drops toward 25°C or below; conversely, sustained overcast and rain keep readings elevated near 28–30°C. Model runs show modest divergence on timing and intensity of showers, directly affecting the diurnal range in this subtropical coastal setting where August climatology favors minima around 25°C. Traders price the extremes highest because small shifts in overnight conditions or official station readings could tip resolution either way before data finalize.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання