Traders see the 9°C-or-below outcome as the leading resolution at 47.5% implied probability because current ensemble guidance points to enhanced nocturnal cooling in Mexico City tomorrow. The city’s 2,240 m elevation, combined with expected widespread cloud cover and rainfall during the heart of the wet season, reduces outgoing longwave radiation and keeps daytime heating modest. Recent model consensus highlights a moist tropical air mass and possible weak frontal passage that could drop minimum temperatures below the 11–12°C climatological baseline. Higher-temperature bins remain viable only if clearer skies develop overnight, an outcome assigned lower odds pending the next official CONAGUA and global model updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 26?
9°C or below 96%
10°C 47%
13°C 26%
14°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
9°C or below
96%
10°C
47%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
1%
9°C or below 96%
10°C 47%
13°C 26%
14°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Обс.
96%
10°C
$5 Обс.
47%
11°C
$0 Обс.
25%
12°C
$0 Обс.
25%
13°C
$0 Обс.
26%
14°C
$0 Обс.
26%
15°C
$0 Обс.
26%
16°C
$0 Обс.
25%
17°C
$5 Обс.
8%
18°C
$5 Обс.
8%
19°C or higher
$5 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 9°C-or-below outcome as the leading resolution at 47.5% implied probability because current ensemble guidance points to enhanced nocturnal cooling in Mexico City tomorrow. The city’s 2,240 m elevation, combined with expected widespread cloud cover and rainfall during the heart of the wet season, reduces outgoing longwave radiation and keeps daytime heating modest. Recent model consensus highlights a moist tropical air mass and possible weak frontal passage that could drop minimum temperatures below the 11–12°C climatological baseline. Higher-temperature bins remain viable only if clearer skies develop overnight, an outcome assigned lower odds pending the next official CONAGUA and global model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$25Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 9°C-or-below outcome as the leading resolution at 47.5% implied probability because current ensemble guidance points to enhanced nocturnal cooling in Mexico City tomorrow. The city’s 2,240 m elevation, combined with expected widespread cloud cover and rainfall during the heart of the wet season, reduces outgoing longwave radiation and keeps daytime heating modest. Recent model consensus highlights a moist tropical air mass and possible weak frontal passage that could drop minimum temperatures below the 11–12°C climatological baseline. Higher-temperature bins remain viable only if clearer skies develop overnight, an outcome assigned lower odds pending the next official CONAGUA and global model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$25Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 9°C-or-below outcome as the leading resolution at 47.5% implied probability because current ensemble guidance points to enhanced nocturnal cooling in Mexico City tomorrow. The city’s 2,240 m elevation, combined with expected widespread cloud cover and rainfall during the heart of the wet season, reduces outgoing longwave radiation and keeps daytime heating modest. Recent model consensus highlights a moist tropical air mass and possible weak frontal passage that could drop minimum temperatures below the 11–12°C climatological baseline. Higher-temperature bins remain viable only if clearer skies develop overnight, an outcome assigned lower odds pending the next official CONAGUA and global model updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання