Official forecasts from MetService, Met Office, and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 15–16°C for Wellington on August 25 under northwesterly flow and mainly fine conditions, with minimal shower risk. This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 16°C, reflecting model consensus on late-winter mildness rather than a polar blast. Seasonal NIWA outlooks favor near- or slightly above-average temperatures for the region, though atmospheric variability can still produce 1–2°C shifts. Traders appear to weigh these reliable short-range guidance updates heavily ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
16°C 55%
17°C 26%
15°C 14%
18°C 4%
НОВЕ
$13,586 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,586 Обс.
Aug 25, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
14%
16°C
55%
17°C
26%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 55%
17°C 26%
15°C 14%
18°C 4%
НОВЕ
$13,586 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,586 Обс.
Aug 25, 2026
10°C or below
$650 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$521 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$239 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$252 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$1,082 Обс.
2%
15°C
$2,326 Обс.
14%
16°C
$3,746 Обс.
55%
17°C
$2,304 Обс.
26%
18°C
$967 Обс.
4%
19°C
$238 Обс.
<1%
20°C or higher
$1,261 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService, Met Office, and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 15–16°C for Wellington on August 25 under northwesterly flow and mainly fine conditions, with minimal shower risk. This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 16°C, reflecting model consensus on late-winter mildness rather than a polar blast. Seasonal NIWA outlooks favor near- or slightly above-average temperatures for the region, though atmospheric variability can still produce 1–2°C shifts. Traders appear to weigh these reliable short-range guidance updates heavily ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,586Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService, Met Office, and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 15–16°C for Wellington on August 25 under northwesterly flow and mainly fine conditions, with minimal shower risk. This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 16°C, reflecting model consensus on late-winter mildness rather than a polar blast. Seasonal NIWA outlooks favor near- or slightly above-average temperatures for the region, though atmospheric variability can still produce 1–2°C shifts. Traders appear to weigh these reliable short-range guidance updates heavily ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$13,586Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from MetService, Met Office, and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 15–16°C for Wellington on August 25 under northwesterly flow and mainly fine conditions, with minimal shower risk. This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 16°C, reflecting model consensus on late-winter mildness rather than a polar blast. Seasonal NIWA outlooks favor near- or slightly above-average temperatures for the region, though atmospheric variability can still produce 1–2°C shifts. Traders appear to weigh these reliable short-range guidance updates heavily ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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