Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models such as those referenced by Met Office and AccuWeather indicate daytime highs in Incheon and Seoul on August 24 likely peaking near 30–32 °C under clearing skies following earlier showers. A strengthening subtropical high is promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover, enhancing daytime solar heating typical of late-August climatology, while moderate southwesterly flow limits extreme advection. Official guidance centers on 31 °C, with minor spread from timing of any residual moisture or boundary-layer mixing. This consensus underpins trader positioning around 30–32 °C outcomes, as near-term model runs show limited downside risk below 29 °C absent major forecast revisions. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria tied to the official station maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 24?
31°C 38%
30°C 26%
29°C 14%
32°C 11%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
14%
30°C
26%
31°C
38%
32°C
13%
33°C or higher
4%
31°C 38%
30°C 26%
29°C 14%
32°C 11%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
14%
30°C
26%
31°C
38%
32°C
13%
33°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models such as those referenced by Met Office and AccuWeather indicate daytime highs in Incheon and Seoul on August 24 likely peaking near 30–32 °C under clearing skies following earlier showers. A strengthening subtropical high is promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover, enhancing daytime solar heating typical of late-August climatology, while moderate southwesterly flow limits extreme advection. Official guidance centers on 31 °C, with minor spread from timing of any residual moisture or boundary-layer mixing. This consensus underpins trader positioning around 30–32 °C outcomes, as near-term model runs show limited downside risk below 29 °C absent major forecast revisions. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria tied to the official station maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання