**Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a likely overnight low of 11–13°C for Helsinki on August 24, 2026, consistent with the historical average of 12.6°C but on the cooler side of seasonal norms.** Northwest winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to promote radiative cooling, while the broader late-August pattern shows cooler-than-average conditions persisting after mid-month lows in the 9–12°C range. This setup supports the market's elevated 49.5% implied probability on 8°C or below as traders weigh downside risks from model spread, potential clearer skies, or stronger cold advection—scenarios that have occurred in past analogs like 2025 (7.1°C low). Bins clustered around 9–13°C reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical two days out, while the 24% on 18°C or higher captures residual warm-air intrusion possibilities. Upcoming model runs and official briefings from FMI will be key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on August 24?
8°C or below 49%
18°C or higher 48%
15°C 36%
16°C 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
8°C or below
49%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
36%
16°C
36%
17°C
36%
18°C or higher
48%
8°C or below 49%
18°C or higher 48%
15°C 36%
16°C 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Обс.
49%
9°C
$0 Обс.
19%
10°C
$0 Обс.
19%
11°C
$0 Обс.
19%
12°C
$0 Обс.
19%
13°C
$0 Обс.
19%
14°C
$4 Обс.
19%
15°C
$5 Обс.
36%
16°C
$5 Обс.
36%
17°C
$5 Обс.
36%
18°C or higher
$5 Обс.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a likely overnight low of 11–13°C for Helsinki on August 24, 2026, consistent with the historical average of 12.6°C but on the cooler side of seasonal norms.** Northwest winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to promote radiative cooling, while the broader late-August pattern shows cooler-than-average conditions persisting after mid-month lows in the 9–12°C range.
This setup supports the market's elevated 49.5% implied probability on 8°C or below as traders weigh downside risks from model spread, potential clearer skies, or stronger cold advection—scenarios that have occurred in past analogs like 2025 (7.1°C low). Bins clustered around 9–13°C reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical two days out, while the 24% on 18°C or higher captures residual warm-air intrusion possibilities. Upcoming model runs and official briefings from FMI will be key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$24Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a likely overnight low of 11–13°C for Helsinki on August 24, 2026, consistent with the historical average of 12.6°C but on the cooler side of seasonal norms.** Northwest winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to promote radiative cooling, while the broader late-August pattern shows cooler-than-average conditions persisting after mid-month lows in the 9–12°C range.
This setup supports the market's elevated 49.5% implied probability on 8°C or below as traders weigh downside risks from model spread, potential clearer skies, or stronger cold advection—scenarios that have occurred in past analogs like 2025 (7.1°C low). Bins clustered around 9–13°C reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical two days out, while the 24% on 18°C or higher captures residual warm-air intrusion possibilities. Upcoming model runs and official briefings from FMI will be key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$24Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and European models indicate a likely overnight low of 11–13°C for Helsinki on August 24, 2026, consistent with the historical average of 12.6°C but on the cooler side of seasonal norms.** Northwest winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to promote radiative cooling, while the broader late-August pattern shows cooler-than-average conditions persisting after mid-month lows in the 9–12°C range. This setup supports the market's elevated 49.5% implied probability on 8°C or below as traders weigh downside risks from model spread, potential clearer skies, or stronger cold advection—scenarios that have occurred in past analogs like 2025 (7.1°C low). Bins clustered around 9–13°C reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical two days out, while the 24% on 18°C or higher captures residual warm-air intrusion possibilities. Upcoming model runs and official briefings from FMI will be key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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