Current short-range forecasts from agencies including AEMET and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall between 16–19°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer climatology of nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. Trader balance near 50% for 18°C-or-below versus 28°C-or-higher reflects model divergence on whether a weak trough or persistent high-pressure ridge will alter boundary-layer mixing and dew-point advection over the next 48 hours. Historical analogs show minimums rarely exceed 22°C without strong warm-air advection, while values below 15°C remain uncommon absent clear, calm conditions; upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs plus official AEMET bulletins will likely resolve the spread before market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
28°C or higher 97%
18°C or below 51%
24°C 32%
25°C 32%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
51%
19°C
19%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C
17%
23°C
17%
24°C
32%
25°C
32%
26°C
32%
27°C
32%
28°C or higher
97%
28°C or higher 97%
18°C or below 51%
24°C 32%
25°C 32%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Обс.
51%
19°C
$0 Обс.
19%
20°C
$0 Обс.
17%
21°C
$0 Обс.
17%
22°C
$0 Обс.
17%
23°C
$4 Обс.
17%
24°C
$5 Обс.
32%
25°C
$5 Обс.
32%
26°C
$5 Обс.
32%
27°C
$5 Обс.
32%
28°C or higher
$5 Обс.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies including AEMET and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall between 16–19°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer climatology of nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. Trader balance near 50% for 18°C-or-below versus 28°C-or-higher reflects model divergence on whether a weak trough or persistent high-pressure ridge will alter boundary-layer mixing and dew-point advection over the next 48 hours. Historical analogs show minimums rarely exceed 22°C without strong warm-air advection, while values below 15°C remain uncommon absent clear, calm conditions; upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs plus official AEMET bulletins will likely resolve the spread before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$29Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies including AEMET and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall between 16–19°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer climatology of nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. Trader balance near 50% for 18°C-or-below versus 28°C-or-higher reflects model divergence on whether a weak trough or persistent high-pressure ridge will alter boundary-layer mixing and dew-point advection over the next 48 hours. Historical analogs show minimums rarely exceed 22°C without strong warm-air advection, while values below 15°C remain uncommon absent clear, calm conditions; upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs plus official AEMET bulletins will likely resolve the spread before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$29Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from agencies including AEMET and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall between 16–19°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer climatology of nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30°C. Trader balance near 50% for 18°C-or-below versus 28°C-or-higher reflects model divergence on whether a weak trough or persistent high-pressure ridge will alter boundary-layer mixing and dew-point advection over the next 48 hours. Historical analogs show minimums rarely exceed 22°C without strong warm-air advection, while values below 15°C remain uncommon absent clear, calm conditions; upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs plus official AEMET bulletins will likely resolve the spread before market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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