Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon show an overnight low near 24°C under mostly cloudy conditions on August 24, establishing the primary driver behind the market's tight clustering around 25–26°C. These readings reflect typical late-summer radiative cooling moderated by humidity and light winds, consistent with regional model consensus that limits further drops unless clearer skies develop. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading implied probabilities, accounts for minor forecast revisions possible from updated runs or localized variations between Seoul and Incheon stations. Historical August baselines rarely dip below 23°C without stronger frontal systems, underscoring why outcomes below 24°C hold lower weight while 27°C+ remain outliers. New KMA guidance expected within 24 hours could shift positioning ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 24?
26°C 47%
25°C 21%
24°C 11%
27°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
11%
25°C
21%
26°C
43%
27°C
11%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
26°C 47%
25°C 21%
24°C 11%
27°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
22°C
$5 Обс.
3%
23°C
$0 Обс.
6%
24°C
$0 Обс.
11%
25°C
$0 Обс.
21%
26°C
$22 Обс.
43%
27°C
$0 Обс.
11%
28°C
$5 Обс.
5%
29°C
$5 Обс.
3%
30°C
$5 Обс.
2%
31°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon show an overnight low near 24°C under mostly cloudy conditions on August 24, establishing the primary driver behind the market's tight clustering around 25–26°C. These readings reflect typical late-summer radiative cooling moderated by humidity and light winds, consistent with regional model consensus that limits further drops unless clearer skies develop. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading implied probabilities, accounts for minor forecast revisions possible from updated runs or localized variations between Seoul and Incheon stations. Historical August baselines rarely dip below 23°C without stronger frontal systems, underscoring why outcomes below 24°C hold lower weight while 27°C+ remain outliers. New KMA guidance expected within 24 hours could shift positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$42Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon show an overnight low near 24°C under mostly cloudy conditions on August 24, establishing the primary driver behind the market's tight clustering around 25–26°C. These readings reflect typical late-summer radiative cooling moderated by humidity and light winds, consistent with regional model consensus that limits further drops unless clearer skies develop. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading implied probabilities, accounts for minor forecast revisions possible from updated runs or localized variations between Seoul and Incheon stations. Historical August baselines rarely dip below 23°C without stronger frontal systems, underscoring why outcomes below 24°C hold lower weight while 27°C+ remain outliers. New KMA guidance expected within 24 hours could shift positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$42Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon show an overnight low near 24°C under mostly cloudy conditions on August 24, establishing the primary driver behind the market's tight clustering around 25–26°C. These readings reflect typical late-summer radiative cooling moderated by humidity and light winds, consistent with regional model consensus that limits further drops unless clearer skies develop. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading implied probabilities, accounts for minor forecast revisions possible from updated runs or localized variations between Seoul and Incheon stations. Historical August baselines rarely dip below 23°C without stronger frontal systems, underscoring why outcomes below 24°C hold lower weight while 27°C+ remain outliers. New KMA guidance expected within 24 hours could shift positioning ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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