Latest forecast models from major meteorological agencies show high uncertainty for Beijing's maximum temperature on August 26, with trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 24–26°C reflecting divergent ensemble runs. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover, weak frontal influences typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C to official readings. Recent model updates have shifted slightly cooler, but resolution criteria tied to precise station measurements leave room for small adjustments from the final 24-hour forecast cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
25°C 27%
26°C 24%
24°C 16%
27°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
10%
24°C
16%
25°C
27%
26°C
24%
27°C
12%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 27%
26°C 24%
24°C 16%
27°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
$109 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$104 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$198 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$877 Обс.
10%
24°C
$2,124 Обс.
16%
25°C
$615 Обс.
27%
26°C
$289 Обс.
24%
27°C
$1,150 Обс.
12%
28°C
$799 Обс.
6%
29°C
$303 Обс.
4%
30°C or higher
$820 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from major meteorological agencies show high uncertainty for Beijing's maximum temperature on August 26, with trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 24–26°C reflecting divergent ensemble runs. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover, weak frontal influences typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C to official readings. Recent model updates have shifted slightly cooler, but resolution criteria tied to precise station measurements leave room for small adjustments from the final 24-hour forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,387Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from major meteorological agencies show high uncertainty for Beijing's maximum temperature on August 26, with trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 24–26°C reflecting divergent ensemble runs. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover, weak frontal influences typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C to official readings. Recent model updates have shifted slightly cooler, but resolution criteria tied to precise station measurements leave room for small adjustments from the final 24-hour forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,387Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from major meteorological agencies show high uncertainty for Beijing's maximum temperature on August 26, with trader-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 24–26°C reflecting divergent ensemble runs. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover, weak frontal influences typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C to official readings. Recent model updates have shifted slightly cooler, but resolution criteria tied to precise station measurements leave room for small adjustments from the final 24-hour forecast cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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