Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 25 point to partly cloudy skies and a maximum near 34–35°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C. Ensemble model guidance shows modest uncertainty in peak heating due to variable cloud cover and potential sea-breeze effects along the Kanto Plain, which can cap afternoon temperatures by 1–2°C. High humidity typical of late-August conditions in the region sustains elevated heat indices, while the urban heat island effect in central Tokyo supports the upper end of the distribution. Historical climatology places late-August maxima near 31–32°C, so any deviation hinges on the strength of solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing in the next model runs. Updated JMA and global ensemble outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 25?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 25?
34°C 33%
33°C 24%
32°C 14%
35°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
24%
34°C
33%
35°C
14%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 33%
33°C 24%
32°C 14%
35°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
$5 Обс.
1%
30°C
$10 Обс.
6%
31°C
$39 Обс.
5%
32°C
$42 Обс.
14%
33°C
$988 Обс.
24%
34°C
$140 Обс.
33%
35°C
$31 Обс.
14%
36°C
$5 Обс.
5%
37°C
$152 Обс.
3%
38°C
$311 Обс.
1%
39°C or higher
$117 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 25 point to partly cloudy skies and a maximum near 34–35°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C. Ensemble model guidance shows modest uncertainty in peak heating due to variable cloud cover and potential sea-breeze effects along the Kanto Plain, which can cap afternoon temperatures by 1–2°C. High humidity typical of late-August conditions in the region sustains elevated heat indices, while the urban heat island effect in central Tokyo supports the upper end of the distribution. Historical climatology places late-August maxima near 31–32°C, so any deviation hinges on the strength of solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing in the next model runs. Updated JMA and global ensemble outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,841Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 25 point to partly cloudy skies and a maximum near 34–35°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C. Ensemble model guidance shows modest uncertainty in peak heating due to variable cloud cover and potential sea-breeze effects along the Kanto Plain, which can cap afternoon temperatures by 1–2°C. High humidity typical of late-August conditions in the region sustains elevated heat indices, while the urban heat island effect in central Tokyo supports the upper end of the distribution. Historical climatology places late-August maxima near 31–32°C, so any deviation hinges on the strength of solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing in the next model runs. Updated JMA and global ensemble outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,841Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 25 point to partly cloudy skies and a maximum near 34–35°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C. Ensemble model guidance shows modest uncertainty in peak heating due to variable cloud cover and potential sea-breeze effects along the Kanto Plain, which can cap afternoon temperatures by 1–2°C. High humidity typical of late-August conditions in the region sustains elevated heat indices, while the urban heat island effect in central Tokyo supports the upper end of the distribution. Historical climatology places late-August maxima near 31–32°C, so any deviation hinges on the strength of solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing in the next model runs. Updated JMA and global ensemble outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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