Recent forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international models point to a highest temperature of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 23, driven by typical late-summer conditions with moderate subtropical high influence, increased cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating. Recent passage of Typhoon Dolphin earlier in August brought heavy rainfall and temporary cooling across eastern China, contributing to lingering moisture and reduced solar radiation that favors these mid-range outcomes over extremes. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima averaging near 31°C with a standard deviation of about 2–3°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on 31°C (46.5%) and 32°C (36.5%). Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
31°C 48%
32°C 36%
30°C 10%
33°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
48%
32°C
36%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 48%
32°C 36%
30°C 10%
33°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
26°C or below
$274 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$499 Обс.
1%
28°C
$154 Обс.
2%
29°C
$184 Обс.
4%
30°C
$722 Обс.
10%
31°C
$447 Обс.
48%
32°C
$684 Обс.
36%
33°C
$113 Обс.
5%
34°C
$169 Обс.
2%
35°C
$151 Обс.
1%
36°C or higher
$280 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international models point to a highest temperature of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 23, driven by typical late-summer conditions with moderate subtropical high influence, increased cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating. Recent passage of Typhoon Dolphin earlier in August brought heavy rainfall and temporary cooling across eastern China, contributing to lingering moisture and reduced solar radiation that favors these mid-range outcomes over extremes. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima averaging near 31°C with a standard deviation of about 2–3°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on 31°C (46.5%) and 32°C (36.5%). Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,677Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international models point to a highest temperature of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 23, driven by typical late-summer conditions with moderate subtropical high influence, increased cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating. Recent passage of Typhoon Dolphin earlier in August brought heavy rainfall and temporary cooling across eastern China, contributing to lingering moisture and reduced solar radiation that favors these mid-range outcomes over extremes. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima averaging near 31°C with a standard deviation of about 2–3°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on 31°C (46.5%) and 32°C (36.5%). Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,677Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international models point to a highest temperature of 31–32°C in Shanghai on August 23, driven by typical late-summer conditions with moderate subtropical high influence, increased cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating. Recent passage of Typhoon Dolphin earlier in August brought heavy rainfall and temporary cooling across eastern China, contributing to lingering moisture and reduced solar radiation that favors these mid-range outcomes over extremes. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima averaging near 31°C with a standard deviation of about 2–3°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on 31°C (46.5%) and 32°C (36.5%). Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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