Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, BBC, and European ensembles indicates a highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25 most likely between 22–25°C, driven by moderate westerly flow and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s concentration on 23–25°C outcomes (combined ~83.5% implied probability) following early-August heat that pushed local maxima above 30°C before a cooling trend set in mid-month. Key variables include the strength of any Atlantic ridge and exact timing of cloud cover, with official forecasts currently clustering near 23°C. Updated runs from KNMI and ECMWF ahead of the date will be the main catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25?
24°C 40%
25°C 22%
23°C 22%
22°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
7%
23°C
22%
24°C
40%
25°C
22%
26°C
7%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
2%
24°C 40%
25°C 22%
23°C 22%
22°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Обс.
2%
21°C
$0 Обс.
5%
22°C
$116 Обс.
7%
23°C
$36 Обс.
22%
24°C
$0 Обс.
40%
25°C
$12 Обс.
22%
26°C
$158 Обс.
7%
27°C
$20 Обс.
7%
28°C
$20 Обс.
4%
29°C
$5 Обс.
2%
30°C or higher
$5 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, BBC, and European ensembles indicates a highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25 most likely between 22–25°C, driven by moderate westerly flow and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s concentration on 23–25°C outcomes (combined ~83.5% implied probability) following early-August heat that pushed local maxima above 30°C before a cooling trend set in mid-month. Key variables include the strength of any Atlantic ridge and exact timing of cloud cover, with official forecasts currently clustering near 23°C. Updated runs from KNMI and ECMWF ahead of the date will be the main catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$377Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, BBC, and European ensembles indicates a highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25 most likely between 22–25°C, driven by moderate westerly flow and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s concentration on 23–25°C outcomes (combined ~83.5% implied probability) following early-August heat that pushed local maxima above 30°C before a cooling trend set in mid-month. Key variables include the strength of any Atlantic ridge and exact timing of cloud cover, with official forecasts currently clustering near 23°C. Updated runs from KNMI and ECMWF ahead of the date will be the main catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$377Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, BBC, and European ensembles indicates a highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25 most likely between 22–25°C, driven by moderate westerly flow and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s concentration on 23–25°C outcomes (combined ~83.5% implied probability) following early-August heat that pushed local maxima above 30°C before a cooling trend set in mid-month. Key variables include the strength of any Atlantic ridge and exact timing of cloud cover, with official forecasts currently clustering near 23°C. Updated runs from KNMI and ECMWF ahead of the date will be the main catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання