Late August cooling in Helsinki, driven by seasonal solar decline and strengthening northerly flow, positions maximum temperatures of 19–20 °C as the leading outcomes for August 25. Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble forecasts indicate a daytime peak near 19 °C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, consistent with the climatological drop from early-August averages near 21 °C. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this range, supporting the market-implied probabilities of roughly 84 % for 19 °C or 20 °C while assigning low odds to outliers beyond 21 °C or below 18 °C. No significant warm-air advection or blocking patterns are evident to alter this trajectory before the observation window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 25?
19°C 50%
20°C 35%
18°C 10%
21°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
50%
20°C
35%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
19°C 50%
20°C 35%
18°C 10%
21°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
50%
20°C
35%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Late August cooling in Helsinki, driven by seasonal solar decline and strengthening northerly flow, positions maximum temperatures of 19–20 °C as the leading outcomes for August 25. Official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble forecasts indicate a daytime peak near 19 °C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, consistent with the climatological drop from early-August averages near 21 °C. Recent model runs show minimal spread around this range, supporting the market-implied probabilities of roughly 84 % for 19 °C or 20 °C while assigning low odds to outliers beyond 21 °C or below 18 °C. No significant warm-air advection or blocking patterns are evident to alter this trajectory before the observation window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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