Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs shows Warsaw under building high pressure with northeasterly flow on August 26, favoring mostly clear skies and limited moisture. This setup caps daytime heating after cooler, unsettled conditions on the 24th, producing forecast highs clustered tightly around 22–24 °C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and wind speed—stronger NE winds enhance advection of cooler maritime air and suppress peak temperatures, while lighter flow or delayed clearing allows greater solar insolation and surface warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time and stable synoptic pattern, aligning with trader emphasis on the 22–24 °C range. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 26?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 26?
23°C 37%
22°C 33%
24°C 25%
21°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
9%
22°C
33%
23°C
37%
24°C
25%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
4%
23°C 37%
22°C 33%
24°C 25%
21°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
18°C
$5 Обс.
2%
19°C
$5 Обс.
2%
20°C
$14 Обс.
7%
21°C
$55 Обс.
9%
22°C
$17 Обс.
33%
23°C
$17 Обс.
37%
24°C
$1 Обс.
25%
25°C
$0 Обс.
5%
26°C
$0 Обс.
3%
27°C or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs shows Warsaw under building high pressure with northeasterly flow on August 26, favoring mostly clear skies and limited moisture. This setup caps daytime heating after cooler, unsettled conditions on the 24th, producing forecast highs clustered tightly around 22–24 °C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and wind speed—stronger NE winds enhance advection of cooler maritime air and suppress peak temperatures, while lighter flow or delayed clearing allows greater solar insolation and surface warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time and stable synoptic pattern, aligning with trader emphasis on the 22–24 °C range. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$113Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs shows Warsaw under building high pressure with northeasterly flow on August 26, favoring mostly clear skies and limited moisture. This setup caps daytime heating after cooler, unsettled conditions on the 24th, producing forecast highs clustered tightly around 22–24 °C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and wind speed—stronger NE winds enhance advection of cooler maritime air and suppress peak temperatures, while lighter flow or delayed clearing allows greater solar insolation and surface warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time and stable synoptic pattern, aligning with trader emphasis on the 22–24 °C range. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$113Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs shows Warsaw under building high pressure with northeasterly flow on August 26, favoring mostly clear skies and limited moisture. This setup caps daytime heating after cooler, unsettled conditions on the 24th, producing forecast highs clustered tightly around 22–24 °C. Differentiation among these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and wind speed—stronger NE winds enhance advection of cooler maritime air and suppress peak temperatures, while lighter flow or delayed clearing allows greater solar insolation and surface warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time and stable synoptic pattern, aligning with trader emphasis on the 22–24 °C range. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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