High-pressure ridging over Poland is driving clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong overnight radiative cooling in Warsaw, favoring minimum temperatures near 11–13 °C on August 26. Official guidance and ensemble models show the overnight low occurring around 05:00–07:00 local time under dew points near 11 °C, with minimal cloud cover limiting insulation. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–13 °C (each 25–30 %) reflects small but meaningful differences among model runs in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds; slightly stronger drainage or delayed clearing could push the minimum to 10 °C or hold it at 14 °C. Updated 00Z–12Z model cycles and real-time observations from the Warsaw station will refine the exact value before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 26?
11°C 31%
12°C 27%
13°C 24%
10°C 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
7°C or below
7%
8°C
7%
9°C
10%
10°C
21%
11°C
31%
12°C
27%
13°C
24%
14°C
9%
15°C
14%
16°C
6%
17°C or higher
2%
11°C 31%
12°C 27%
13°C 24%
10°C 21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
7°C or below
$5 Обс.
7%
8°C
$95 Обс.
7%
9°C
$0 Обс.
10%
10°C
$0 Обс.
21%
11°C
$0 Обс.
31%
12°C
$0 Обс.
27%
13°C
$0 Обс.
24%
14°C
$40 Обс.
9%
15°C
$0 Обс.
14%
16°C
$70 Обс.
6%
17°C or higher
$135 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High-pressure ridging over Poland is driving clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong overnight radiative cooling in Warsaw, favoring minimum temperatures near 11–13 °C on August 26. Official guidance and ensemble models show the overnight low occurring around 05:00–07:00 local time under dew points near 11 °C, with minimal cloud cover limiting insulation. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–13 °C (each 25–30 %) reflects small but meaningful differences among model runs in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds; slightly stronger drainage or delayed clearing could push the minimum to 10 °C or hold it at 14 °C. Updated 00Z–12Z model cycles and real-time observations from the Warsaw station will refine the exact value before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$345Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High-pressure ridging over Poland is driving clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong overnight radiative cooling in Warsaw, favoring minimum temperatures near 11–13 °C on August 26. Official guidance and ensemble models show the overnight low occurring around 05:00–07:00 local time under dew points near 11 °C, with minimal cloud cover limiting insulation. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–13 °C (each 25–30 %) reflects small but meaningful differences among model runs in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds; slightly stronger drainage or delayed clearing could push the minimum to 10 °C or hold it at 14 °C. Updated 00Z–12Z model cycles and real-time observations from the Warsaw station will refine the exact value before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$345Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...High-pressure ridging over Poland is driving clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong overnight radiative cooling in Warsaw, favoring minimum temperatures near 11–13 °C on August 26. Official guidance and ensemble models show the overnight low occurring around 05:00–07:00 local time under dew points near 11 °C, with minimal cloud cover limiting insulation. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–13 °C (each 25–30 %) reflects small but meaningful differences among model runs in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds; slightly stronger drainage or delayed clearing could push the minimum to 10 °C or hold it at 14 °C. Updated 00Z–12Z model cycles and real-time observations from the Warsaw station will refine the exact value before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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